FS Třebíč 0–0 Sokol Tasovice: Result & Stats

FS Třebíč

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Sokol Tasovice

3/23/2025

4. liga - Divizie D · Division D - 18Hrište Fotbalová škola Třebíč

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 30+ matches

FS Třebíč36%

×Draw23%

Sokol Tasovice41%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

FS TřebíčExpected goals in this matchSokol Tasovice

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.58

1.72

FS Třebíč

1.58

Sokol Tasovice

1.72

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 30 home / 82 away

1.27

creates per match

1.57

1.87

allows per match

1.89

creates per match

FS Třebíč

1.27

Sokol Tasovice

1.57

allows per match

FS Třebíč

1.87

Sokol Tasovice

1.89

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

FS Třebíč+0.00on par

Sokol Tasovice+0.00on par

Total goals

Over64
Under36

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes65
No35

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

FS Třebíč ↓

Sokol Tasovice →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–04%

0–16%

0–25%

0–33%

0–41%

1

1–06%

1–110%

1–29%

1–35%

1–42%

2

2–05%

2–18%

2–27%

2–34%

2–42%

3

3–02%

3–14%

3–24%

3–32%

3–41%

4

4–01%

4–12%

4–21%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

96%4%1.5

84%16%2.5

64%36%3.5

42%58%4.5

23%77%

Double chance

FS Třebíč or draw

59%

FS Třebíč or Sokol Tasovice

77%

Draw or Sokol Tasovice

64%

Winning margin

FS Třebíč wins by 2+

17%

Sokol Tasovice wins by 2+

21%

Team goals

FS Třebíč 1+ goals

79%

FS Třebíč 2+ goals

47%

FS Třebíč 3+ goals

21%

Sokol Tasovice 1+ goals

82%

Sokol Tasovice 2+ goals

51%

Sokol Tasovice 3+ goals

25%

Draw no bet

FS Třebíč (draw refunded)

46%

Sokol Tasovice (draw refunded)

54%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

55%

Both score & under 3

10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

FS Třebíč at home — creates 1.27, concedes 1.87 · 30 matches

Sokol Tasovice away — creates 1.57, concedes 1.89 · 82 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

FS Třebíč attack 1.27 + Sokol Tasovice defence 1.89 → ÷2 → 1.58

Sokol Tasovice attack 1.57 + FS Třebíč defence 1.87 → ÷2 → 1.72

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 41%?"

FS Třebíč scores more

36%

level

23%

Sokol Tasovice scores more

41%

Sokol Tasovice at 41% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 41% does not mean "Sokol Tasovice will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff