Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Fortuna Mfou vs Canon — Elite One 2019

Fortuna Mfou
Fortuna Mfou
FT
0 – 1
HT: 0 – 1
Canon
Canon
Unknown 25'
6/1/2026Elite OneElite One · Round 21

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 88+ matches

Fortuna Mfou34%
×Draw28%
Canon38%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Fortuna Mfou
1.13
Canon
1.21

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 97 home / 88 away

creates per match

Fortuna Mfou
1.28
Canon
1.18

allows per match

Fortuna Mfou
1.23
Canon
0.98

finishing

Fortuna Mfou+0.00on par
Canon+0.00on par

Total goals

59%Under
  • Under59
  • Over41

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

52%No
  • No52
  • Yes48

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Fortuna Mfou ↓

Canon →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–010%
0–112%
0–27%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–011%
1–113%
1–28%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–17%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–02%
3–13%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
90%10%1.5
68%32%2.5
41%59%3.5
21%79%4.5
9%91%

Double chance

Fortuna Mfou or draw
62%
Fortuna Mfou or Canon
72%
Draw or Canon
66%

Winning margin

Fortuna Mfou wins by 2+
14%
Canon wins by 2+
16%

Team goals

Fortuna Mfou 1+ goals
68%
Fortuna Mfou 2+ goals
31%
Fortuna Mfou 3+ goals
11%
Canon 1+ goals
70%
Canon 2+ goals
34%
Canon 3+ goals
12%

Draw no bet

Fortuna Mfou (draw refunded)
47%
Canon (draw refunded)
53%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
34%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Fortuna Mfou at home — creates 1.28, concedes 1.23 · 97 matches

Canon away — creates 1.18, concedes 0.98 · 88 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Fortuna Mfou attack 1.28 + Canon defence 0.98 → ÷2 → 1.13

Canon attack 1.18 + Fortuna Mfou defence 1.23 → ÷2 → 1.21

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 38%?"

Fortuna Mfou scores more
34%
level
28%
Canon scores more
38%

Canon at 38% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 38% does not mean "Canon will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

25'

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Elite One: Fortuna Mfou 0–1 Canon

Canon beat Fortuna Mfou 1-0 in Elite One on June 1, 2026.

Goals: ? (25').