Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Fortuna Düsseldorf II vs TSV Steinbach — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Fortuna Düsseldorf II
Fortuna Düsseldorf II
CANC
14:00
TSV Steinbach
TSV Steinbach
1/11/2022Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Nebenplatz Rheinstadion

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 4+ matches

Fortuna Düsseldorf II53%
×Draw21%
TSV Steinbach25%
✓ Correct in 51 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.5%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.5% correct across 581,483 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 49.7% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Fortuna Düsseldorf II
2.08
TSV Steinbach
1.38

Fortuna Düsseldorf II creates 51% more chances

Season form · 4 home / 12 away

creates per match

Fortuna Düsseldorf II
2.50
TSV Steinbach
2.00

allows per match

Fortuna Düsseldorf II
0.75
TSV Steinbach
1.67

finishing

Fortuna Düsseldorf II+0.00on par
TSV Steinbach+0.00on par

Total goals

67%Over
  • Over67
  • Under33

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

65%Yes
  • Yes65
  • No35

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Fortuna Düsseldorf II ↓

TSV Steinbach →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–14%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–07%
1–19%
1–26%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–19%
2–27%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–17%
3–25%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (9%) · grid covers 93% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
86%14%2.5
67%33%3.5
45%55%4.5
26%74%

Double chance

Fortuna Düsseldorf II or draw
75%
Fortuna Düsseldorf II or TSV Steinbach
79%
Draw or TSV Steinbach
47%

Winning margin

Fortuna Düsseldorf II wins by 2+
32%
TSV Steinbach wins by 2+
11%

Team goals

Fortuna Düsseldorf II 1+ goals
87%
Fortuna Düsseldorf II 2+ goals
61%
Fortuna Düsseldorf II 3+ goals
34%
TSV Steinbach 1+ goals
75%
TSV Steinbach 2+ goals
40%
TSV Steinbach 3+ goals
16%

Draw no bet

Fortuna Düsseldorf II (draw refunded)
68%
TSV Steinbach (draw refunded)
32%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
56%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Fortuna Düsseldorf II at home — creates 2.50, concedes 0.75 · 4 matches

TSV Steinbach away — creates 2.00, concedes 1.67 · 12 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Fortuna Düsseldorf II attack 2.50 + TSV Steinbach defence 1.67 → ÷2 → 2.08

TSV Steinbach attack 2.00 + Fortuna Düsseldorf II defence 0.75 → ÷2 → 1.38

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 53%?"

Fortuna Düsseldorf II scores more
53%
level
21%
TSV Steinbach scores more
25%

Fortuna Düsseldorf II at 53% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 53% does not mean "Fortuna Düsseldorf II will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Fortuna Düsseldorf II vs TSV Steinbach — Match Preview

Fortuna Düsseldorf II face TSV Steinbach on January 11, 2022 in this Friendlies Clubs fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.

Fortuna Düsseldorf II host TSV Steinbach at Nebenplatz Rheinstadion.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.