Flekkerøy 0–2 jerv: Result & Stats

Flekkerøy

FT

0 – 2

HT: 0 – 0

jerv

J. Furaha 89', 77'

8/24/2024

2. Division - Group 1 · Group 1 - 18Cemo Arena Flekkerøy

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 33+ matches

Flekkerøy38%

×Draw24%

jerv38%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

FlekkerøyExpected goals in this matchjerv

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.59

1.60

Flekkerøy

1.59

jerv

1.60

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 51 home / 33 away

1.57

creates per match

1.79

1.41

allows per match

1.61

creates per match

Flekkerøy

1.57

jerv

1.79

allows per match

Flekkerøy

1.41

jerv

1.61

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Flekkerøy+0.00on par

jerv+0.00on par

Total goals

Over62
Under38

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes63
No37

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Flekkerøy ↓

jerv →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–04%

0–17%

0–25%

0–33%

0–41%

1

1–07%

1–111%

1–28%

1–34%

1–42%

2

2–05%

2–18%

2–27%

2–34%

2–41%

3

3–03%

3–14%

3–24%

3–32%

3–41%

4

4–01%

4–12%

4–21%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

96%4%1.5

83%17%2.5

62%38%3.5

39%61%4.5

22%78%

Double chance

Flekkerøy or draw

62%

Flekkerøy or jerv

76%

Draw or jerv

62%

Winning margin

Flekkerøy wins by 2+

19%

jerv wins by 2+

19%

Team goals

Flekkerøy 1+ goals

80%

Flekkerøy 2+ goals

47%

Flekkerøy 3+ goals

21%

jerv 1+ goals

80%

jerv 2+ goals

47%

jerv 3+ goals

22%

Draw no bet

Flekkerøy (draw refunded)

50%

jerv (draw refunded)

50%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

53%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Flekkerøy at home — creates 1.57, concedes 1.41 · 51 matches

jerv away — creates 1.79, concedes 1.61 · 33 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Flekkerøy attack 1.57 + jerv defence 1.61 → ÷2 → 1.59

jerv attack 1.79 + Flekkerøy defence 1.41 → ÷2 → 1.60

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 38%?"

Flekkerøy scores more

38%

level

24%

jerv scores more

38%

Flekkerøy at 38% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 38% does not mean "Flekkerøy will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

25'

O. Rønningen← M. Madsen

30'

S. L. Haaland

49'

F. Lien

65'

R. Hauge← L. Markmanrud

71'

B. Sundo

73'

L. Eftevaag← S. Haaland

77'

J. Furaha

82'

A. Kloster← S. Valand

87'

H. Krogelien← S. Osestad

89'

J. Furaha

90'

A. Endresen← P. Wilson

Flekkerøy

jerv

20

19

22

4

15

5

▼

Markmanru

6

Wichmann

8

Ugland

40

▼

Osestad

14

▼

Wilson

17

⚽2

Furaha

1

Knezović

14

▼

5

4

30

15

23

▼

3

6

10

9

▼

Valand

Manager: M. Johansen

25'▲O. Rønningen←▼M. Madsen

73'▲L. Eftevaag←▼S. Haaland

82'▲A. Kloster←▼S. Valand

Flekkerøy substitutes

2Rønningen8Eftevaag11Kloster7Nahiry13Kristiansen19Gundersen20Sørum22You

Manager: E. Kjønø

65'▲R. Hauge←▼L. Markmanrud

87'▲H. Krogelien←▼S. Osestad

90'▲A. Endresen←▼P. Wilson

jerv substitutes

7Hauge16Krogelien25Endresen1Olsvoll11Schröter13Skeie18Richstad21Strangstad80Trengereid

2. Division - Group 1: Flekkerøy 0–2 jerv

jerv beat Flekkerøy 2-0 in 2. Division - Group 1 on August 24, 2024.

Goals: J. Furaha (77', 89').

The match was played at Cemo Arena Flekkerøy in Kristiansand.

Flekkerøy vs jerv — 2. Division - Group 1 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

2. Division - Group 1: Flekkerøy 0–2 jerv