Fleetwood Town 0–0 Bromley: Result & Stats

Fleetwood Town

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Bromley

10/5/2024

League Two · Round 10Highbury Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 9+ matches

Fleetwood Town52%

×Draw25%

Bromley23%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.4%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 578,261 matches, vs 44.4% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Fleetwood TownExpected goals in this matchBromley

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.62

1.00

Fleetwood Town

1.62

Bromley

1.00

Fleetwood Town creates 62% more chances

Season form · 9 home / 10 away

1.64

creates per match

1.19

0.82

allows per match

1.60

creates per match

Fleetwood Town

1.64

Bromley

1.19

allows per match

Fleetwood Town

0.82

Bromley

1.60

-0.53scores less than expected

finishing

+0.21scores more than expected

finishing

Fleetwood Town-0.53scores less

Bromley+0.21scores more

Total goals

Under51
Over49

Close call

Both teams score

Yes51
No49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Fleetwood Town ↓

Bromley →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–07%

0–17%

0–24%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–012%

1–112%

1–26%

1–32%

1–40%

2

2–010%

2–110%

2–25%

2–32%

2–40%

3

3–05%

3–15%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

93%7%1.5

74%26%2.5

49%51%3.5

27%73%4.5

12%88%

Double chance

Fleetwood Town or draw

77%

Fleetwood Town or Bromley

75%

Draw or Bromley

48%

Winning margin

Fleetwood Town wins by 2+

27%

Bromley wins by 2+

8%

Team goals

Fleetwood Town 1+ goals

80%

Fleetwood Town 2+ goals

48%

Fleetwood Town 3+ goals

22%

Bromley 1+ goals

63%

Bromley 2+ goals

26%

Bromley 3+ goals

8%

Draw no bet

Fleetwood Town (draw refunded)

69%

Bromley (draw refunded)

31%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

39%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Fleetwood Town at home — creates 1.64, concedes 0.82 · 9 matches

Bromley away — creates 1.19, concedes 1.60 · 10 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Fleetwood Town attack 1.64 + Bromley defence 1.60 → ÷2 → 1.62

Bromley attack 1.19 + Fleetwood Town defence 0.82 → ÷2 → 1.00

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 52%?"

Fleetwood Town scores more

52%

level

25%

Bromley scores more

23%

Fleetwood Town at 52% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 52% does not mean "Fleetwood Town will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

10

D. Mayor

Fleetwood Town · M

7.9

Match Events

46'

R. Bennett← J. Bolton

59'

Omar Sowunmi

67'

K. Harratt← R. Coughlan

67'

P. Patterson← Mackenzie Hunt

68'

M. Helm← M. Virtue-Thick

68'

L. Amantchi← O. Olomola

90+2'

T. Lonergan← D. Mayor

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

FleetwoodBromley

Overview

54%Possession46%

17Total Shots14

6Corners4

12Fouls7

Shots

17Total Shots14

2On Target4

10Off Target8

5Blocked2

13Inside Box10

4Outside Box4

Passing

54%Possession46%

371Total Passes319

284Accurate Passes208

77%Pass Accuracy65%

Goalkeeping

3Saves2

Discipline

12Fouls7

0Yellow Cards1

1Offsides1