Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV vs Železničar Pančevo — Super Liga 2026

FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
FT
0 – 3
HT: 0 – 2
Železničar Pančevo
Železničar Pančevo
2/8/2026Super LigaSuper Liga · Round 22Gradski stadion

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 57+ matches

FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV41%
×Draw26%
Železničar Pančevo34%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
1.42
Železničar Pančevo
1.27

FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV creates 12% more chances

Season form · 145 home / 57 away

creates per match

FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
1.32
Železničar Pančevo
1.12

allows per match

FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
1.43
Železničar Pančevo
1.51

finishing

FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV+0.00on par
Železničar Pančevo+0.00on par

Total goals

50%Under
  • Under50
  • Over50

Close call

Both teams score

55%Yes
  • Yes55
  • No45

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV ↓

Železničar Pančevo →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–07%
0–19%
0–25%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–010%
1–112%
1–28%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–19%
2–26%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–14%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
93%7%1.5
75%25%2.5
50%50%3.5
28%72%4.5
13%87%

Double chance

FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV or draw
66%
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV or Železničar Pančevo
74%
Draw or Železničar Pančevo
59%

Winning margin

FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV wins by 2+
19%
Železničar Pančevo wins by 2+
15%

Team goals

FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV 1+ goals
76%
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV 2+ goals
41%
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV 3+ goals
17%
Železničar Pančevo 1+ goals
72%
Železničar Pančevo 2+ goals
36%
Železničar Pančevo 3+ goals
14%

Draw no bet

FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV (draw refunded)
55%
Železničar Pančevo (draw refunded)
45%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
42%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV at home — creates 1.32, concedes 1.43 · 145 matches

Železničar Pančevo away — creates 1.12, concedes 1.51 · 57 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV attack 1.32 + Železničar Pančevo defence 1.51 → ÷2 → 1.42

Železničar Pančevo attack 1.12 + FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV defence 1.43 → ÷2 → 1.27

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 41%?"

FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV scores more
41%
level
26%
Železničar Pančevo scores more
34%

FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV at 41% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 41% does not mean "FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV vs Železničar Pančevo

Železničar Pančevo beat FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV 3-0 in Super Liga on February 8, 2026.

The match was played at Gradski stadion in Subotica.