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FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV vs Javor — Super Liga 2026

FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
FT
1 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Javor
Javor
4/15/2024Super LigaSuper Liga · Round 30Gradski Stadion

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 90+ matches

FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV46%
×Draw25%
Javor29%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
1.56
Javor
1.19

FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV creates 31% more chances

Season form · 145 home / 90 away

creates per match

FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
1.32
Javor
0.96

allows per match

FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
1.43
Javor
1.80

finishing

FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV+0.00on par
Javor+0.00on par

Total goals

52%Over
  • Over52
  • Under48

Close call

Both teams score

55%Yes
  • Yes55
  • No45

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV ↓

Javor →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–06%
0–18%
0–25%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–010%
1–112%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–19%
2–26%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–15%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
76%24%2.5
52%48%3.5
30%70%4.5
14%86%

Double chance

FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV or draw
71%
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV or Javor
75%
Draw or Javor
54%

Winning margin

FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV wins by 2+
23%
Javor wins by 2+
12%

Team goals

FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV 1+ goals
79%
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV 2+ goals
46%
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV 3+ goals
21%
Javor 1+ goals
70%
Javor 2+ goals
33%
Javor 3+ goals
12%

Draw no bet

FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV (draw refunded)
61%
Javor (draw refunded)
39%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
43%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV at home — creates 1.32, concedes 1.43 · 145 matches

Javor away — creates 0.96, concedes 1.80 · 90 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV attack 1.32 + Javor defence 1.80 → ÷2 → 1.56

Javor attack 0.96 + FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV defence 1.43 → ÷2 → 1.19

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 46%?"

FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV scores more
46%
level
25%
Javor scores more
29%

FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV at 46% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 46% does not mean "FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Super Liga: FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV 1–0 Javor

FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV beat Javor 1-0 in Super Liga on April 15, 2024.

The match was played at Gradski Stadion in Subotica.