Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

FK Romanija Pale vs Rudar Prijedor — 1st League - RS 2019

FK Romanija Pale
FK Romanija Pale
FT
0 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Rudar Prijedor
Rudar Prijedor
11/2/20241st League - RS1st League - RS · RS - 14Stadion FK Romanija

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 49+ matches

FK Romanija Pale38%
×Draw30%
Rudar Prijedor32%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

FK Romanija Pale
1.09
Rudar Prijedor
0.99

FK Romanija Pale creates 10% more chances

Season form · 49 home / 73 away

creates per match

FK Romanija Pale
1.37
Rudar Prijedor
1.03

allows per match

FK Romanija Pale
0.96
Rudar Prijedor
0.81

finishing

FK Romanija Pale+0.00on par
Rudar Prijedor+0.00on par

Total goals

66%Under
  • Under66
  • Over34

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

58%No
  • No58
  • Yes42

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

FK Romanija Pale ↓

Rudar Prijedor →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–012%
0–112%
0–26%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–014%
1–113%
1–27%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–17%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–03%
3–13%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (14%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
88%12%1.5
62%38%2.5
34%66%3.5
16%84%4.5
6%94%

Double chance

FK Romanija Pale or draw
68%
FK Romanija Pale or Rudar Prijedor
70%
Draw or Rudar Prijedor
62%

Winning margin

FK Romanija Pale wins by 2+
15%
Rudar Prijedor wins by 2+
12%

Team goals

FK Romanija Pale 1+ goals
66%
FK Romanija Pale 2+ goals
30%
FK Romanija Pale 3+ goals
10%
Rudar Prijedor 1+ goals
63%
Rudar Prijedor 2+ goals
26%
Rudar Prijedor 3+ goals
8%

Draw no bet

FK Romanija Pale (draw refunded)
54%
Rudar Prijedor (draw refunded)
46%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
28%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

FK Romanija Pale at home — creates 1.37, concedes 0.96 · 49 matches

Rudar Prijedor away — creates 1.03, concedes 0.81 · 73 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

FK Romanija Pale attack 1.37 + Rudar Prijedor defence 0.81 → ÷2 → 1.09

Rudar Prijedor attack 1.03 + FK Romanija Pale defence 0.96 → ÷2 → 0.99

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 38%?"

FK Romanija Pale scores more
38%
level
30%
Rudar Prijedor scores more
32%

FK Romanija Pale at 38% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 38% does not mean "FK Romanija Pale will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

1st League - RS: FK Romanija Pale 0–0 Rudar Prijedor

FK Romanija Pale and Rudar Prijedor drew 0-0 in 1st League - RS on November 2, 2024.

The match was played at Stadion FK Romanija in Pale.