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FK Jablonec vs Viktoria Žižkov — Friendlies Clubs 2026

FK Jablonec
FK Jablonec
FT
0 – 2
Viktoria Žižkov
Viktoria Žižkov
5/13/2020Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3eFotbal aréna

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 11+ matches

FK Jablonec75%
×Draw15%
Viktoria Žižkov10%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

FK Jablonec
2.59
Viktoria Žižkov
0.83

FK Jablonec creates 212% more chances

Season form · 17 home / 11 away

creates per match

FK Jablonec
2.18
Viktoria Žižkov
0.73

allows per match

FK Jablonec
0.94
Viktoria Žižkov
3.00

finishing

FK Jablonec+0.00on par
Viktoria Žižkov+0.00on par

Total goals

66%Over
  • Over66
  • Under34

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

52%Yes
  • Yes52
  • No48

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

FK Jablonec ↓

Viktoria Žižkov →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–13%
0–21%
0–30%
0–40%
1
1–09%
1–17%
1–23%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–011%
2–19%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–010%
3–18%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–06%
4–15%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 2–0 (11%) · grid covers 89% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
85%15%2.5
66%34%3.5
44%56%4.5
25%75%

Double chance

FK Jablonec or draw
90%
FK Jablonec or Viktoria Žižkov
85%
Draw or Viktoria Žižkov
25%

Winning margin

FK Jablonec wins by 2+
53%
Viktoria Žižkov wins by 2+
3%

Team goals

FK Jablonec 1+ goals
92%
FK Jablonec 2+ goals
73%
FK Jablonec 3+ goals
47%
Viktoria Žižkov 1+ goals
56%
Viktoria Žižkov 2+ goals
20%
Viktoria Žižkov 3+ goals
5%

Draw no bet

FK Jablonec (draw refunded)
88%
Viktoria Žižkov (draw refunded)
12%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
45%
Both score & under 3
7%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

FK Jablonec at home — creates 2.18, concedes 0.94 · 17 matches

Viktoria Žižkov away — creates 0.73, concedes 3.00 · 11 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

FK Jablonec attack 2.18 + Viktoria Žižkov defence 3.00 → ÷2 → 2.59

Viktoria Žižkov attack 0.73 + FK Jablonec defence 0.94 → ÷2 → 0.83

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 75%?"

FK Jablonec scores more
75%
level
15%
Viktoria Žižkov scores more
10%

FK Jablonec at 75% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 75% does not mean "FK Jablonec will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: FK Jablonec vs Viktoria Žižkov

Viktoria Žižkov beat FK Jablonec 2-0 in Friendlies Clubs on May 13, 2020.

The match was played at eFotbal aréna in Praha.