Fernando De La Mora vs Deportivo Santani — Division Intermedia 2026
Match Prediction
Statistical Prediction
Based on goals from last 86+ matches
Fernando De La Mora43%
Deportivo Santani30%✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.
Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct
Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Expected goals in this match
What is xG?
Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.
The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.
Fernando De La Mora creates 25% more chances
Season form · 115 home / 86 away
creates per match
allows per match
finishing
Total goals
- Under56
- Over44
Fewer than 3 goals likely
Both teams score
- No51
- Yes49
Close call
Score probability
Probability of each scoreline, %
Fernando De La Mora ↓
Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines
More markets
Total goals
Double chance
Winning margin
Team goals
Draw no bet
Combos
Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.
How is this calculated?
Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.
Recent form of each side
Fernando De La Mora at home — creates 1.36, concedes 1.03 · 115 matches
Deportivo Santani away — creates 1.14, concedes 1.33 · 86 matches
⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.
Expected goals for this match
Fernando De La Mora attack 1.36 + Deportivo Santani defence 1.33 → ÷2 → 1.35
Deportivo Santani attack 1.14 + Fernando De La Mora defence 1.03 → ÷2 → 1.08
Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.
Chance of every scoreline
From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.
The answer to "why 43%?"
Fernando De La Mora at 43% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.
What the model can't see
It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:
- injuries & suspensions
- the matchday lineup
- motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
- weather & pitch condition
- in-game coaching decisions
So 43% does not mean "Fernando De La Mora will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.
Match Events
Head to Head
5 previous meetingsDeportivo Santani
12 de Junio VH
Tacuary
Atlético Tembetary
Benjamín AcevalFernando De La Mora
Sportivo Carapeguá
SOL DE America
Paraguari AC
Encarnación
General Caballero
Guairena FC
Independiente F.b.c.
Deportivo Capiata
Resistencia
3 de NoviembreIf points are equal: 1. Goal difference 2. Goals scored 3. Head-to-head
P = Played · W = Won · D = Drawn · L = Lost · GF = Goals for · GA = Goals against · GD = Goal difference · Pts = Points
Fernando De La Mora host Deportivo Santani on Saturday, 3 August 2024 at 14:00. The match is part of the Division Intermedia 2026/2027 season.
Match Recap: Fernando De La Mora vs Deportivo Santani
Fernando De La Mora and Deportivo Santani drew 0-0 in Division Intermedia on August 3, 2024.
The match was played at Estadio Emiliano Ghezzi in Asunción.