Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Felgueiras 1932 vs Sporting CP B — Segunda Liga 2018

Felgueiras 1932
Felgueiras 1932
FT
0 – 2
HT: 0 – 0
Sporting CP B
Sporting CP B
L. Anjos 90'
R. Ribeiro 46'
12/6/2025Segunda LigaSegunda Liga · Round 13Stadion Dr. Machado de Matos

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 26+ matches

Felgueiras 193243%
×Draw29%
Sporting CP B29%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Felgueiras 1932
1.24
Sporting CP B
0.96

Felgueiras 1932 creates 29% more chances

Season form · 34 home / 26 away

creates per match

Felgueiras 1932
1.12
Sporting CP B
0.96

allows per match

Felgueiras 1932
0.97
Sporting CP B
1.35

finishing

Felgueiras 1932+0.00on par
Sporting CP B+0.00on par

Total goals

62%Under
  • Under62
  • Over38

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

56%No
  • No56
  • Yes44

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Felgueiras 1932 ↓

Sporting CP B →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–011%
0–111%
0–25%
0–32%
0–40%
1
1–014%
1–113%
1–26%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–09%
2–18%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–04%
3–13%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (14%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
89%11%1.5
65%35%2.5
38%62%3.5
18%82%4.5
7%93%

Double chance

Felgueiras 1932 or draw
71%
Felgueiras 1932 or Sporting CP B
71%
Draw or Sporting CP B
57%

Winning margin

Felgueiras 1932 wins by 2+
19%
Sporting CP B wins by 2+
10%

Team goals

Felgueiras 1932 1+ goals
71%
Felgueiras 1932 2+ goals
35%
Felgueiras 1932 3+ goals
13%
Sporting CP B 1+ goals
62%
Sporting CP B 2+ goals
25%
Sporting CP B 3+ goals
7%

Draw no bet

Felgueiras 1932 (draw refunded)
60%
Sporting CP B (draw refunded)
40%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
31%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Felgueiras 1932 at home — creates 1.12, concedes 0.97 · 34 matches

Sporting CP B away — creates 0.96, concedes 1.35 · 26 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Felgueiras 1932 attack 1.12 + Sporting CP B defence 1.35 → ÷2 → 1.24

Sporting CP B attack 0.96 + Felgueiras 1932 defence 0.97 → ÷2 → 0.96

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 43%?"

Felgueiras 1932 scores more
43%
level
29%
Sporting CP B scores more
29%

Felgueiras 1932 at 43% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 43% does not mean "Felgueiras 1932 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

99
F. SilvaSporting CP BSporting CP B · G
8.0

Match Events

16'
Filipe Cruz
26'
Salvador Blopa
37'
Rodrigo Ribeiro
43'
Pedro Rosas
45+2'
Mauro Couto
46'
R. Ribeiro↳ R. Nel
57'
Rodrigo RibeiroGoal cancelled
65'
M. Jean-Marie← V. Moreira
65'
M. Mendonca← M. Couto
71'
Kauã Oliveira
74'
F. Goncalves← R. Ribeiro
74'
E. Felicissimo← Kaua Oliveira
78'
Berna← Feliz
85'
Jean Felipe← H. Martins
85'
Beni← F. Cruz
90+3'
Jean Felipe
90+4'
Flavio Goncalves
90+2'
Rafael Nel
90'
L. Anjos← P. Cardoso
90'
L. Anjos↳ F. Goncalves

Possession

57%Felgueiras

Shots

14Felgueiras

Pass accuracy

52%Felgueiras

Statistics

FelgueirasSporting
Overview
57%Possession43%
14Total Shots8
7Corners5
13Fouls19
Shots
14Total Shots8
2On Target3
11Off Target5
1Blocked0
8Inside Box7
6Outside Box1
Passing
57%Possession43%
295Total Passes235
215Accurate Passes160
73%Pass Accuracy68%
Goalkeeping
1Saves2
Discipline
13Fouls19
2Yellow Cards6
1Red Cards0
0Offsides5

Segunda Liga: Felgueiras 1932 0–2 Sporting CP B

Sporting CP B beat Felgueiras 1932 2-0 in Segunda Liga on December 6, 2025.

Goals: R. Ribeiro (46'), L. Anjos (90').

Felgueiras 1932 controlled possession (57%) and registered 14 shots to 8.

The match was played at Stadion Dr. Machado de Matos in Felgueiras.