Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

FCSB vs Unirea Slobozia — Liga I 2026

FCSB
FCSB
FT
0 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Unirea Slobozia
Unirea Slobozia
5/11/2026Liga ILiga I · Relegation Group - 8Arena Nationala

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 41+ matches

FCSB55%
×Draw24%
Unirea Slobozia21%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

FCSB
1.72
Unirea Slobozia
0.96

FCSB creates 79% more chances

Season form · 155 home / 41 away

creates per match

FCSB
1.85
Unirea Slobozia
0.93

allows per match

FCSB
0.98
Unirea Slobozia
1.59

finishing

FCSB+0.00on par
Unirea Slobozia+0.00on par

Total goals

50%Under
  • Under50
  • Over50

Close call

Both teams score

51%Yes
  • Yes51
  • No49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

FCSB ↓

Unirea Slobozia →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–07%
0–17%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–012%
1–111%
1–25%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–010%
2–110%
2–25%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–06%
3–16%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–03%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
93%7%1.5
75%25%2.5
50%50%3.5
28%72%4.5
13%87%

Double chance

FCSB or draw
79%
FCSB or Unirea Slobozia
76%
Draw or Unirea Slobozia
45%

Winning margin

FCSB wins by 2+
31%
Unirea Slobozia wins by 2+
7%

Team goals

FCSB 1+ goals
82%
FCSB 2+ goals
51%
FCSB 3+ goals
25%
Unirea Slobozia 1+ goals
62%
Unirea Slobozia 2+ goals
25%
Unirea Slobozia 3+ goals
7%

Draw no bet

FCSB (draw refunded)
72%
Unirea Slobozia (draw refunded)
28%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
39%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

FCSB at home — creates 1.85, concedes 0.98 · 155 matches

Unirea Slobozia away — creates 0.93, concedes 1.59 · 41 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

FCSB attack 1.85 + Unirea Slobozia defence 1.59 → ÷2 → 1.72

Unirea Slobozia attack 0.93 + FCSB defence 0.98 → ÷2 → 0.96

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 55%?"

FCSB scores more
55%
level
24%
Unirea Slobozia scores more
21%

FCSB at 55% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 55% does not mean "FCSB will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Liga I: FCSB 0–0 Unirea Slobozia

FCSB and Unirea Slobozia drew 0-0 in Liga I on May 11, 2026.

The match was played at Arena Nationala in Bucharest.