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FC Wurzburger Kickers vs Eintracht Braunschweig — League #80 2026

FC Wurzburger Kickers
FC Wurzburger Kickers
FT
3 – 1
HT: 2 – 0
Eintracht Braunschweig
Eintracht Braunschweig
2/22/2020League #80League #80 · Round 25flyeralarm-Arena

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 7+ matches

FC Wurzburger Kickers46%
×Draw28%
Eintracht Braunschweig26%
✓ Correct in 51 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.6%
Always home
44.7%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.6% correct across 576,853 matches, vs 44.7% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.9% correct · Away picks 49.7% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

FC Wurzburger Kickers
1.33
Eintracht Braunschweig
0.92

FC Wurzburger Kickers creates 45% more chances

Season form · 15 home / 7 away

creates per match

FC Wurzburger Kickers
0.80
Eintracht Braunschweig
0.71

allows per match

FC Wurzburger Kickers
1.13
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.86

finishing

FC Wurzburger Kickers+0.00on par
Eintracht Braunschweig+0.00on par

Total goals

61%Under
  • Under61
  • Over39

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

56%No
  • No56
  • Yes44

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

FC Wurzburger Kickers ↓

Eintracht Braunschweig →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–011%
0–110%
0–24%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–014%
1–113%
1–26%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–09%
2–19%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–04%
3–14%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (14%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
89%11%1.5
66%34%2.5
39%61%3.5
19%81%4.5
8%92%

Double chance

FC Wurzburger Kickers or draw
74%
FC Wurzburger Kickers or Eintracht Braunschweig
72%
Draw or Eintracht Braunschweig
54%

Winning margin

FC Wurzburger Kickers wins by 2+
22%
Eintracht Braunschweig wins by 2+
9%

Team goals

FC Wurzburger Kickers 1+ goals
74%
FC Wurzburger Kickers 2+ goals
38%
FC Wurzburger Kickers 3+ goals
15%
Eintracht Braunschweig 1+ goals
60%
Eintracht Braunschweig 2+ goals
23%
Eintracht Braunschweig 3+ goals
7%

Draw no bet

FC Wurzburger Kickers (draw refunded)
64%
Eintracht Braunschweig (draw refunded)
36%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
31%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

FC Wurzburger Kickers at home — creates 0.80, concedes 1.13 · 15 matches

Eintracht Braunschweig away — creates 0.71, concedes 1.86 · 7 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

FC Wurzburger Kickers attack 0.80 + Eintracht Braunschweig defence 1.86 → ÷2 → 1.33

Eintracht Braunschweig attack 0.71 + FC Wurzburger Kickers defence 1.13 → ÷2 → 0.92

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 46%?"

FC Wurzburger Kickers scores more
46%
level
28%
Eintracht Braunschweig scores more
26%

FC Wurzburger Kickers at 46% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 46% does not mean "FC Wurzburger Kickers will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

League #80: FC Wurzburger Kickers 3–1 Eintracht Braunschweig

FC Wurzburger Kickers beat Eintracht Braunschweig 3-1 in League #80 on February 22, 2020.

The match was played at flyeralarm-Arena in Würzburg.