Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

FC Winterthur vs FC Sion — Super League 2018

FC Winterthur
FC Winterthur
FT
2 – 3
HT: 1 – 3
FC Sion
FC Sion
A. Hunziker 85'
E. Maluvunu 21'
J. Lukembila 35'
N. Sow 32'
R. Nivokazi 13'
9/14/2025Super LeagueSuper League · Round 6Stadion Schützenwiese

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 23+ matches

FC Winterthur34%
×Draw24%
FC Sion42%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 585,131 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.6% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

FC Winterthur
1.40
FC Sion
1.57

FC Sion creates 12% more chances

Season form · 25 home / 23 away

creates per match

FC Winterthur
1.38
FC Sion
1.44

allows per match

FC Winterthur
1.71
FC Sion
1.41

finishing

FC Winterthur-0.38scores less
FC Sion+0.13scores more

Total goals

57%Over
  • Over57
  • Under43

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

60%Yes
  • Yes60
  • No40

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

FC Winterthur ↓

FC Sion →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–18%
0–26%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–07%
1–111%
1–29%
1–35%
1–42%
2
2–05%
2–18%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–02%
3–14%
3–23%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
80%20%2.5
57%43%3.5
34%66%4.5
18%82%

Double chance

FC Winterthur or draw
58%
FC Winterthur or FC Sion
76%
Draw or FC Sion
66%

Winning margin

FC Winterthur wins by 2+
15%
FC Sion wins by 2+
21%

Team goals

FC Winterthur 1+ goals
75%
FC Winterthur 2+ goals
41%
FC Winterthur 3+ goals
17%
FC Sion 1+ goals
79%
FC Sion 2+ goals
46%
FC Sion 3+ goals
21%

Draw no bet

FC Winterthur (draw refunded)
45%
FC Sion (draw refunded)
55%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
48%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

FC Winterthur at home — creates 1.38, concedes 1.71 · 25 matches

FC Sion away — creates 1.44, concedes 1.41 · 23 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

FC Winterthur attack 1.38 + FC Sion defence 1.41 → ÷2 → 1.40

FC Sion attack 1.44 + FC Winterthur defence 1.71 → ÷2 → 1.57

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 42%?"

FC Winterthur scores more
34%
level
24%
FC Sion scores more
42%

FC Sion at 42% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 42% does not mean "FC Sion will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

39
J. LukembilaFC SionFC Sion · M
8.2

Match Events

13'
R. Nivokazi↳ A. Kabacalman
21'
E. Maluvunu↳ S. Sidler
28'
Elias MaluvunuGoal cancelled
32'
N. Sow
35'
J. Lukembila↳ R. Nivokazi
46'
C. Chiappetta← T. Golliard
46'
B. Beyer← R. Schneider
61'
Remo Arnold
69'
L. Diack← T. Bouchlarhem
69'
Baltazar← A. Kabacalman
72'
A. Hunziker← E. Maluvunu
72'
M. Martins← S. Sidler
76'
Y. Chouaref← J. Lukembila
76'
L. Chipperfield← T. Berdayes
80'
W. Boteli← R. Nivokazi
84'
D. Ulrich← S. Cueni
85'
A. Hunziker↳ R. Buess
89'
Anthony Racioppi

Possession

54%FC

Shots

9FC

Pass accuracy

51%FC

Statistics

FCFC
Overview
54%Possession46%
9Total Shots15
1.29Expected Goals (xG)1.78
5Corners6
19Fouls7
Shots
9Total Shots15
2On Target6
4Off Target5
3Blocked4
7Inside Box7
2Outside Box8
Passing
54%Possession46%
420Total Passes360
336Accurate Passes277
80%Pass Accuracy77%
Goalkeeping
3Saves0
Discipline
19Fouls7
1Yellow Cards1
1Offsides1

Super League: FC Winterthur 2–3 FC Sion

FC Sion beat FC Winterthur 3-2 in Super League on September 14, 2025.

Goals: R. Nivokazi (13'), E. Maluvunu (21'), N. Sow (32'), J. Lukembila (35'), A. Hunziker (85').

FC Winterthur controlled possession (54%) and registered 9 shots to 15.

The match was played at Stadion Schützenwiese in Winterthur.