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FC Voluntari vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe — Liga II 2018

FC Voluntari
FC Voluntari
FT
2 – 0
HT: 2 – 0
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
5/12/2026Liga IILiga II · Championship Group - 9Stadionul Anghel Iordanescu

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 15+ matches

FC Voluntari41%
×Draw27%
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe32%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

FC Voluntari
1.32
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
1.12

FC Voluntari creates 18% more chances

Season form · 31 home / 15 away

creates per match

FC Voluntari
1.71
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
1.53

allows per match

FC Voluntari
0.71
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
0.93

finishing

FC Voluntari+0.00on par
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe+0.00on par

Total goals

56%Under
  • Under56
  • Over44

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

51%No
  • No51
  • Yes49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

FC Voluntari ↓

Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–09%
0–110%
0–25%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–012%
1–113%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–19%
2–25%
2–32%
2–40%
3
3–03%
3–14%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
91%9%1.5
70%30%2.5
44%56%3.5
23%77%4.5
10%90%

Double chance

FC Voluntari or draw
68%
FC Voluntari or Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
73%
Draw or Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
59%

Winning margin

FC Voluntari wins by 2+
19%
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe wins by 2+
13%

Team goals

FC Voluntari 1+ goals
73%
FC Voluntari 2+ goals
38%
FC Voluntari 3+ goals
15%
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 1+ goals
67%
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 2+ goals
31%
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 3+ goals
10%

Draw no bet

FC Voluntari (draw refunded)
57%
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe (draw refunded)
43%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
36%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

FC Voluntari at home — creates 1.71, concedes 0.71 · 31 matches

Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe away — creates 1.53, concedes 0.93 · 15 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

FC Voluntari attack 1.71 + Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe defence 0.93 → ÷2 → 1.32

Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe attack 1.53 + FC Voluntari defence 0.71 → ÷2 → 1.12

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 41%?"

FC Voluntari scores more
41%
level
27%
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe scores more
32%

FC Voluntari at 41% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 41% does not mean "FC Voluntari will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Liga II: FC Voluntari 2–0 Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe

FC Voluntari beat Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 2-0 in Liga II on May 12, 2026.

The match was played at Stadionul Anghel Iordanescu in Voluntari.