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FC Voluntari vs Farul Constanta — Friendlies Clubs 2026

FC Voluntari
FC Voluntari
FT
3 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Farul Constanta
Farul Constanta
7/11/2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendly

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 5+ matches

FC Voluntari51%
×Draw22%
Farul Constanta26%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

FC Voluntari
1.90
Farul Constanta
1.30

FC Voluntari creates 46% more chances

Season form · 5 home / 5 away

creates per match

FC Voluntari
2.20
Farul Constanta
1.80

allows per match

FC Voluntari
0.80
Farul Constanta
1.60

finishing

FC Voluntari+0.00on par
Farul Constanta+0.00on par

Total goals

62%Over
  • Over62
  • Under38

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

62%Yes
  • Yes62
  • No38

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

FC Voluntari ↓

Farul Constanta →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–15%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–08%
1–110%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–110%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–16%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
83%17%2.5
62%38%3.5
40%60%4.5
22%78%

Double chance

FC Voluntari or draw
74%
FC Voluntari or Farul Constanta
78%
Draw or Farul Constanta
49%

Winning margin

FC Voluntari wins by 2+
29%
Farul Constanta wins by 2+
11%

Team goals

FC Voluntari 1+ goals
85%
FC Voluntari 2+ goals
56%
FC Voluntari 3+ goals
29%
Farul Constanta 1+ goals
73%
Farul Constanta 2+ goals
37%
Farul Constanta 3+ goals
14%

Draw no bet

FC Voluntari (draw refunded)
66%
Farul Constanta (draw refunded)
34%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
52%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

FC Voluntari at home — creates 2.20, concedes 0.80 · 5 matches

Farul Constanta away — creates 1.80, concedes 1.60 · 5 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

FC Voluntari attack 2.20 + Farul Constanta defence 1.60 → ÷2 → 1.90

Farul Constanta attack 1.80 + FC Voluntari defence 0.80 → ÷2 → 1.30

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 51%?"

FC Voluntari scores more
51%
level
22%
Farul Constanta scores more
26%

FC Voluntari at 51% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 51% does not mean "FC Voluntari will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Friendlies Clubs: FC Voluntari 3–0 Farul Constanta

FC Voluntari beat Farul Constanta 3-0 in Friendlies Clubs on July 11, 2026.