FC ST. Gallen 0–0 Yverdon Sport: Result & Stats

FC ST. Gallen

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Yverdon Sport

11/24/2024

Super League · Round 15kybunpark

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 5+ matches

FC ST. Gallen53%

×Draw22%

Yverdon Sport25%

✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

48.6%

Always home

43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

FC ST. GallenExpected goals in this matchYverdon Sport

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

2.00

1.31

FC ST. Gallen

2.00

Yverdon Sport

1.31

FC ST. Gallen creates 53% more chances

Season form · 22 home / 5 away

1.59

creates per match

1.40

1.23

allows per match

2.40

creates per match

FC ST. Gallen

1.59

Yverdon Sport

1.40

allows per match

FC ST. Gallen

1.23

Yverdon Sport

2.40

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

FC ST. Gallen+0.00on par

Yverdon Sport+0.00on par

Total goals

Over64
Under36

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes63
No37

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

FC ST. Gallen ↓

Yverdon Sport →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–04%

0–15%

0–23%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–07%

1–110%

1–26%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–07%

2–110%

2–26%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–05%

3–16%

3–24%

3–32%

3–41%

4

4–02%

4–13%

4–22%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

96%4%1.5

84%16%2.5

64%36%3.5

42%58%4.5

24%76%

Double chance

FC ST. Gallen or draw

75%

FC ST. Gallen or Yverdon Sport

78%

Draw or Yverdon Sport

47%

Winning margin

FC ST. Gallen wins by 2+

31%

Yverdon Sport wins by 2+

10%

Team goals

FC ST. Gallen 1+ goals

86%

FC ST. Gallen 2+ goals

59%

FC ST. Gallen 3+ goals

32%

Yverdon Sport 1+ goals

73%

Yverdon Sport 2+ goals

38%

Yverdon Sport 3+ goals

14%

Draw no bet

FC ST. Gallen (draw refunded)

68%

Yverdon Sport (draw refunded)

32%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

53%

Both score & under 3

10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

FC ST. Gallen at home — creates 1.59, concedes 1.23 · 22 matches

Yverdon Sport away — creates 1.40, concedes 2.40 · 5 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

FC ST. Gallen attack 1.59 + Yverdon Sport defence 2.40 → ÷2 → 2.00

Yverdon Sport attack 1.40 + FC ST. Gallen defence 1.23 → ÷2 → 1.31

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 53%?"

FC ST. Gallen scores more

53%

level

22%

Yverdon Sport scores more

25%

FC ST. Gallen at 53% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 53% does not mean "FC ST. Gallen will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

28

H. Vandermersch

FC ST. Gallen · D

7.7

Match Events

23'

38'

52'

56'

58'

F. Mambimbi← K. Csoboth

59'

C. Witzig← C. Akolo

59'

W. Geubbels← M. Cisse

59'

Mauro Rodrigues← M. Ntelo

64'

B. Toma← M. Stevanović

66'

D. Kacuri← J. Gnakpa

77'

Víctor Ruiz← W. Geubbels

90+2'

Chima Okoroji

90+1'

Jordi Quintillà

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

FCYverdon

Overview

56%Possession44%

16Total Shots7

1.11Expected Goals (xG)1.07

9Corners1

11Fouls13

Shots

16Total Shots7

3On Target0

7Off Target5

6Blocked2

8Inside Box5

8Outside Box2

Passing

56%Possession44%

507Total Passes393

423Accurate Passes320

83%Pass Accuracy81%

Goalkeeping

0Saves3

Discipline

11Fouls13

2Yellow Cards4

5Offsides0