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FC ST. Gallen vs Grasshoppers — Super League 2025

FC ST. Gallen
FC ST. Gallen
Preview
16:00
Grasshoppers
Grasshoppers
12/5/2026Super LeagueSuper League · Round 16Kybunpark
Big match
54%
FC ST. Gallen
model favours
54%22%23%

FC ST. Gallen have scored in 15 games running

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
59%
over 2.5 goals
59%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 10+ matches

FC ST. Gallen54%
×Draw22%
Grasshoppers23%
✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
48.6%
Always home
43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

FC ST. Gallen
1.90
Grasshoppers
1.17

FC ST. Gallen creates 62% more chances

Season form · 10 home / 13 away

creates per match

FC ST. Gallen
2.25
Grasshoppers
1.12

allows per match

FC ST. Gallen
1.21
Grasshoppers
1.55

finishing

FC ST. Gallen-0.15scores less
Grasshoppers-0.27scores less

Total goals

59%Over
  • Over59
  • Under41

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

59%Yes
  • Yes59
  • No41

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

FC ST. Gallen ↓

Grasshoppers →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–15%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–09%
1–110%
1–26%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–110%
2–26%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–16%
3–24%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–03%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
81%19%2.5
59%41%3.5
37%63%4.5
19%81%

Double chance

FC ST. Gallen or draw
77%
FC ST. Gallen or Grasshoppers
78%
Draw or Grasshoppers
46%

Winning margin

FC ST. Gallen wins by 2+
31%
Grasshoppers wins by 2+
9%

Team goals

FC ST. Gallen 1+ goals
85%
FC ST. Gallen 2+ goals
56%
FC ST. Gallen 3+ goals
29%
Grasshoppers 1+ goals
69%
Grasshoppers 2+ goals
33%
Grasshoppers 3+ goals
11%

Draw no bet

FC ST. Gallen (draw refunded)
70%
Grasshoppers (draw refunded)
30%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
48%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

FC ST. Gallen at home — creates 2.25, concedes 1.21 · 10 matches

Grasshoppers away — creates 1.12, concedes 1.55 · 13 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

FC ST. Gallen attack 2.25 + Grasshoppers defence 1.55 → ÷2 → 1.90

Grasshoppers attack 1.12 + FC ST. Gallen defence 1.21 → ÷2 → 1.17

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 54%?"

FC ST. Gallen scores more
54%
level
22%
Grasshoppers scores more
23%

FC ST. Gallen at 54% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 54% does not mean "FC ST. Gallen will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Grasshoppers score first in only 17% of matches
  • Both teams score in 87% of FC ST. Gallen’s matches
  • 73% of FC ST. Gallen’s matches go over 2.5 goals
  • FC ST. Gallen score first in 60% of matches
  • Style contrast — FC ST. Gallen play Attack-heavy, Grasshoppers Direct / counter-attacking
  • 22% of FC ST. Gallen’s goals come in the first 15 minutes

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Style Matchup

Contrasting styles
FC ST. Gallen
Attack-heavy
Grasshoppers
Direct / counter-attacking
47%Possession45%
69%Pass accuracy71%
16.5Shots11.8
1.93xGBiggest gap1.16
Pass acc.ShotsxGBox shareShot acc.Defense
FC ST. GallenGrasshoppers

Head-to-head

5 previous meetings

3
FC ST. Gallen
1
Draws
1
Grasshoppers
Avg goals: 2.8BTTS: 40%
0–02–15–00–23–1

Playing styles from match stats. Historical H2H record. Not a prediction.

Form
Gallen
LWWWD
Grasshoppers
LLWWD

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

FC ST. Gallen face Grasshoppers (Super League)

Super League returns with FC ST. Gallen hosting Grasshoppers. Match starts December 5, 2026. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

FC ST. Gallen host Grasshoppers at Kybunpark.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.