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FC ST. Gallen vs Grasshoppers — Super League 2025

FC ST. Gallen
FC ST. Gallen
FT
5 – 0
HT: 3 – 0
Grasshoppers
Grasshoppers
C. Boukhalfa 90'
S. Vladi 72'
J. Stanic 29'
A. Vogt 15', 10'
10/25/2025Super LeagueSuper League · Round 10Kybunpark

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 10+ matches

FC ST. Gallen54%
×Draw22%
Grasshoppers23%
✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
48.6%
Always home
43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

FC ST. Gallen
1.90
Grasshoppers
1.17

FC ST. Gallen creates 62% more chances

Season form · 10 home / 13 away

creates per match

FC ST. Gallen
2.25
Grasshoppers
1.12

allows per match

FC ST. Gallen
1.21
Grasshoppers
1.55

finishing

FC ST. Gallen-0.15scores less
Grasshoppers-0.27scores less

Total goals

59%Over
  • Over59
  • Under41

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

59%Yes
  • Yes59
  • No41

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

FC ST. Gallen ↓

Grasshoppers →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–15%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–09%
1–110%
1–26%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–110%
2–26%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–16%
3–24%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–03%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
81%19%2.5
59%41%3.5
37%63%4.5
19%81%

Double chance

FC ST. Gallen or draw
77%
FC ST. Gallen or Grasshoppers
78%
Draw or Grasshoppers
46%

Winning margin

FC ST. Gallen wins by 2+
31%
Grasshoppers wins by 2+
9%

Team goals

FC ST. Gallen 1+ goals
85%
FC ST. Gallen 2+ goals
56%
FC ST. Gallen 3+ goals
29%
Grasshoppers 1+ goals
69%
Grasshoppers 2+ goals
33%
Grasshoppers 3+ goals
11%

Draw no bet

FC ST. Gallen (draw refunded)
70%
Grasshoppers (draw refunded)
30%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
48%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

FC ST. Gallen at home — creates 2.25, concedes 1.21 · 10 matches

Grasshoppers away — creates 1.12, concedes 1.55 · 13 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

FC ST. Gallen attack 2.25 + Grasshoppers defence 1.55 → ÷2 → 1.90

Grasshoppers attack 1.12 + FC ST. Gallen defence 1.21 → ÷2 → 1.17

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 54%?"

FC ST. Gallen scores more
54%
level
22%
Grasshoppers scores more
23%

FC ST. Gallen at 54% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 54% does not mean "FC ST. Gallen will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

4
J. StanicFC ST. GallenFC ST. Gallen · D
8.3

Match Events

1'
Alessandro Vogt
10'
A. Vogt↳ L. Gortler
12'
Jozo Stanić
15'
A. Vogt↳ L. Gortler
29'
J. Stanic
35'
Simone Stroscio
42'
Lovro Zvonarek
49'
Matteo Mantini
54'
Matteo Mantini
54'
Matteo Mantini
60'
J. Quintilla← L. Gortler
60'
S. Vladi← A. Vogt
60'
M. Efekele← A. Balde
65'
H. Imourane← L. Zvonarek
72'
S. Vladi↳ C. Boukhalfa
73'
H. Vandermersch← C. Witzig
76'
S. Diarrassouba← O. Clemente
76'
L. Giandomenico← S. Marques
78'
T. Ouattara← C. Okoroji
80'
T. Veron← N. Muci
90'
C. Boukhalfa↳ M. Efekele

Possession

62%FC

Shots

17FC

Pass accuracy

54%FC

Statistics

FCGrasshoppers
Overview
62%Possession38%
17Total Shots10
2.74Expected Goals (xG)0.76
7Corners3
11Fouls13
Shots
17Total Shots10
11On Target1
3Off Target4
3Blocked5
13Inside Box6
4Outside Box4
Passing
62%Possession38%
533Total Passes319
438Accurate Passes220
82%Pass Accuracy69%
Goalkeeping
1Saves5
Discipline
11Fouls13
2Yellow Cards4
0Red Cards1
1Offsides0

Match Recap: FC ST. Gallen vs Grasshoppers

FC ST. Gallen beat Grasshoppers 5-0 in Super League on October 25, 2025.

Goals: A. Vogt (10', 15'), J. Stanic (29'), S. Vladi (72'), C. Boukhalfa (90').

FC ST. Gallen controlled possession (62%) and registered 17 shots to 10.

The match was played at Kybunpark in St. Gallen.