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FC ST. Gallen vs FC Zurich — Super League 2018

FC ST. Gallen
FC ST. Gallen
Preview
14:30
FC Zurich
FC Zurich
7/26/2026Super LeagueSuper League · Round 1Kybunpark
Big match
48%
FC ST. Gallen
model favours
48%23%29%

FC ST. Gallen have scored in 15 games running

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
60%
over 2.5 goals
61%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 146+ matches

FC ST. Gallen48%
×Draw23%
FC Zurich29%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

FC ST. Gallen
1.78
FC Zurich
1.34

FC ST. Gallen creates 33% more chances

Season form · 146 home / 147 away

creates per match

FC ST. Gallen
1.89
FC Zurich
1.31

allows per match

FC ST. Gallen
1.38
FC Zurich
1.67

finishing

FC ST. Gallen+0.00on par
FC Zurich+0.00on par

Total goals

60%Over
  • Over60
  • Under40

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

61%Yes
  • Yes61
  • No39

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

FC ST. Gallen ↓

FC Zurich →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–16%
0–24%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–08%
1–111%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–19%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–16%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
82%18%2.5
60%40%3.5
38%62%4.5
20%80%

Double chance

FC ST. Gallen or draw
71%
FC ST. Gallen or FC Zurich
77%
Draw or FC Zurich
52%

Winning margin

FC ST. Gallen wins by 2+
26%
FC Zurich wins by 2+
13%

Team goals

FC ST. Gallen 1+ goals
83%
FC ST. Gallen 2+ goals
53%
FC ST. Gallen 3+ goals
26%
FC Zurich 1+ goals
74%
FC Zurich 2+ goals
39%
FC Zurich 3+ goals
15%

Draw no bet

FC ST. Gallen (draw refunded)
62%
FC Zurich (draw refunded)
38%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
51%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

FC ST. Gallen at home — creates 1.89, concedes 1.38 · 146 matches

FC Zurich away — creates 1.31, concedes 1.67 · 147 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

FC ST. Gallen attack 1.89 + FC Zurich defence 1.67 → ÷2 → 1.78

FC Zurich attack 1.31 + FC ST. Gallen defence 1.38 → ÷2 → 1.34

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 48%?"

FC ST. Gallen scores more
48%
level
23%
FC Zurich scores more
29%

FC ST. Gallen at 48% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 48% does not mean "FC ST. Gallen will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Both teams score in 100% of FC Zurich’s matches
  • FC Zurich score first in only 18% of matches
  • Both sides lean high-scoring (73% and 82% over 2.5)
  • 82% of FC Zurich’s matches go over 2.5 goals
  • Both teams score in 87% of FC ST. Gallen’s matches
  • 73% of FC ST. Gallen’s matches go over 2.5 goals

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Style Matchup

Contrasting styles
FC ST. Gallen
Attack-heavy
FC Zurich
Balanced
48%Possession49%
70%Pass accuracy71%
16.2Shots12.1
1.91xGBiggest gap1.13
Pass acc.ShotsxGBox shareShot acc.Defense
FC ST. GallenFC Zurich

Head-to-head

10 previous meetings

7
FC ST. Gallen
0
Draws
3
FC Zurich
Avg goals: 3BTTS: 70%
2–11–21–33–22–1

Playing styles from match stats. Historical H2H record. Not a prediction.

Form
Gallen
LLWWW
Zurich
LLLW

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

FC ST. Gallen face FC Zurich (Super League)

Super League returns with FC ST. Gallen hosting FC Zurich. Match starts July 26, 2026. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

FC ST. Gallen host FC Zurich at Kybunpark.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.