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FC Liefering vs Floridsdorfer AC — League #219 2026

FC Liefering
FC Liefering
FT
4 – 1
HT: 2 – 0
Floridsdorfer AC
Floridsdorfer AC
P. Verhounig 89'
G. Diakité 85'
Z. Jánó 36'
S. Diabaté 5'
P. Bertaccini 57'
3/31/2024League #219League #219 · Round 21Red Bull Arena

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 6+ matches

FC Liefering39%
×Draw23%
Floridsdorfer AC38%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

FC Liefering
1.66
Floridsdorfer AC
1.65

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 6 home / 13 away

creates per match

FC Liefering
2.17
Floridsdorfer AC
1.46

allows per match

FC Liefering
1.83
Floridsdorfer AC
1.15

finishing

FC Liefering+0.00on par
Floridsdorfer AC+0.00on par

Total goals

64%Over
  • Over64
  • Under36

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

65%Yes
  • Yes65
  • No35

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

FC Liefering ↓

Floridsdorfer AC →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–16%
0–25%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–06%
1–110%
1–28%
1–35%
1–42%
2
2–05%
2–18%
2–27%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–03%
3–15%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
84%16%2.5
64%36%3.5
42%58%4.5
24%76%

Double chance

FC Liefering or draw
62%
FC Liefering or Floridsdorfer AC
77%
Draw or Floridsdorfer AC
61%

Winning margin

FC Liefering wins by 2+
19%
Floridsdorfer AC wins by 2+
19%

Team goals

FC Liefering 1+ goals
81%
FC Liefering 2+ goals
49%
FC Liefering 3+ goals
23%
Floridsdorfer AC 1+ goals
81%
Floridsdorfer AC 2+ goals
49%
Floridsdorfer AC 3+ goals
23%

Draw no bet

FC Liefering (draw refunded)
50%
Floridsdorfer AC (draw refunded)
50%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
55%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

FC Liefering at home — creates 2.17, concedes 1.83 · 6 matches

Floridsdorfer AC away — creates 1.46, concedes 1.15 · 13 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

FC Liefering attack 2.17 + Floridsdorfer AC defence 1.15 → ÷2 → 1.66

Floridsdorfer AC attack 1.46 + FC Liefering defence 1.83 → ÷2 → 1.65

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 39%?"

FC Liefering scores more
39%
level
23%
Floridsdorfer AC scores more
38%

FC Liefering at 39% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 39% does not mean "FC Liefering will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

55
L. WallnerFC LieferingFC Liefering · D
7.6

Match Events

5'
S. Diabaté↳ L. Wallner
36'
Z. Jánó↳ B. Okoh
41'
B. Atiabou← L. Agyekum
57'
P. Bertaccini↳ O. Adewumi
60'
N. Grimbs← O. Adewumi
60'
Y. Woudstra← Flavio
65'
Lukas Wallner
71'
P. Verhounig← A. Daghim
71'
V. Sulzbacher← T. Paumgartner
83'
G. Diakité← Z. Jánó
83'
T. Friedrich← M. Bećirović
83'
A. Softic← P. Bertaccini
84'
D. Lechner← T. Trummer
85'
G. Diakité
88'
Almer Softic
89'
P. Verhounig

Possession

37%FC

Shots

15FC

Pass accuracy

47%FC

Statistics

FCFloridsdorfer
Overview
37%Possession63%
15Total Shots10
8Corners1
15Fouls11
Shots
15Total Shots10
4On Target5
7Off Target3
4Blocked2
10Inside Box4
5Outside Box6
Passing
37%Possession63%
288Total Passes512
213Accurate Passes424
74%Pass Accuracy83%
Goalkeeping
4Saves0
Discipline
15Fouls11
1Yellow Cards1
1Offsides1

Match Recap: FC Liefering vs Floridsdorfer AC

FC Liefering beat Floridsdorfer AC 4-1 in League #219 on March 31, 2024.

Goals: S. Diabaté (5'), Z. Jánó (36'), P. Bertaccini (57'), G. Diakité (85'), P. Verhounig (89').

Floridsdorfer AC controlled possession (63%) and registered 10 shots to 15.

The match was played at Red Bull Arena in Wals-Siezenheim.