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FC Levante Badalona W vs Real Sociedad W — Primera División Femenina 2018

FC Levante Badalona W
FC Levante Badalona W
Preview
15:00
Real Sociedad W
Real Sociedad W
9/20/2026Primera División FemeninaPrimera División Femenina · Round 4Estadi Municipal de Badalona
Big match
46%
Real Sociedad W
model favours
30%25%46%

FC Levante Badalona W win just 9% against the top half (vs 39% against the bottom)

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
54%
over 2.5 goals
57%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 60+ matches

FC Levante Badalona W30%
×Draw25%
Real Sociedad W46%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

FC Levante Badalona W
1.24
Real Sociedad W
1.60

Real Sociedad W creates 29% more chances

Season form · 60 home / 119 away

creates per match

FC Levante Badalona W
1.02
Real Sociedad W
1.65

allows per match

FC Levante Badalona W
1.55
Real Sociedad W
1.46

finishing

FC Levante Badalona W+0.00on par
Real Sociedad W+0.00on par

Total goals

54%Over
  • Over54
  • Under46

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

57%Yes
  • Yes57
  • No43

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

FC Levante Badalona W ↓

Real Sociedad W →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–06%
0–19%
0–27%
0–34%
0–42%
1
1–07%
1–112%
1–29%
1–35%
1–42%
2
2–04%
2–17%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–02%
3–13%
3–22%
3–31%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
78%22%2.5
54%46%3.5
32%68%4.5
16%84%

Double chance

FC Levante Badalona W or draw
54%
FC Levante Badalona W or Real Sociedad W
75%
Draw or Real Sociedad W
70%

Winning margin

FC Levante Badalona W wins by 2+
12%
Real Sociedad W wins by 2+
23%

Team goals

FC Levante Badalona W 1+ goals
71%
FC Levante Badalona W 2+ goals
35%
FC Levante Badalona W 3+ goals
13%
Real Sociedad W 1+ goals
80%
Real Sociedad W 2+ goals
47%
Real Sociedad W 3+ goals
22%

Draw no bet

FC Levante Badalona W (draw refunded)
39%
Real Sociedad W (draw refunded)
61%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
45%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

FC Levante Badalona W at home — creates 1.02, concedes 1.55 · 60 matches

Real Sociedad W away — creates 1.65, concedes 1.46 · 119 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

FC Levante Badalona W attack 1.02 + Real Sociedad W defence 1.46 → ÷2 → 1.24

Real Sociedad W attack 1.65 + FC Levante Badalona W defence 1.55 → ÷2 → 1.60

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 46%?"

FC Levante Badalona W scores more
30%
level
25%
Real Sociedad W scores more
46%

Real Sociedad W at 46% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 46% does not mean "Real Sociedad W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Style Matchup

Contrasting styles
FC Levante Badalona W
Balanced
Real Sociedad W
Possession-dominant
47%PossessionBiggest gap55%
71%Pass accuracy78%
10.9Shots12.7
—xG—
Pass acc.ShotsxGBox shareShot acc.Defense
FC Levante Badalona WReal Sociedad W

Head-to-head

8 previous meetings

1
FC Levante Badalona W
2
Draws
5
Real Sociedad W
Avg goals: 2.1BTTS: 25%
0–20–20–01–22–2

Playing styles from match stats. Historical H2H record. Not a prediction.

Form
W
WLDLL
W
WLWWW

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

FC Levante Badalona W face Real Sociedad W (Primera División Femenina)

Primera División Femenina returns with FC Levante Badalona W hosting Real Sociedad W. Match starts September 20, 2026. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

FC Levante Badalona W host Real Sociedad W at Estadi Municipal de Badalona.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.