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FC Levante Badalona W vs Real Madrid W — Primera División Femenina 2020

FC Levante Badalona W
FC Levante Badalona W
Preview
16:00
Real Madrid W
Real Madrid W
3/21/2027Primera División FemeninaPrimera División Femenina · Round 23Estadi Municipal de Badalona
Big match
59%
Real Madrid W
model favours
19%22%59%

Real Madrid W have won 8 of the last 8 meetings

brightest fact of this match

0–1
likely score
55%
over 2.5 goals
53%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 60+ matches

FC Levante Badalona W19%
×Draw22%
Real Madrid W59%
✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
48.6%
Always home
43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

FC Levante Badalona W
0.97
Real Madrid W
1.92

Real Madrid W creates 98% more chances

Season form · 60 home / 92 away

creates per match

FC Levante Badalona W
1.02
Real Madrid W
2.29

allows per match

FC Levante Badalona W
1.55
Real Madrid W
0.92

finishing

FC Levante Badalona W+0.00on par
Real Madrid W+0.00on par

Total goals

55%Over
  • Over55
  • Under45

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

53%Yes
  • Yes53
  • No47

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

FC Levante Badalona W ↓

Real Madrid W →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–06%
0–111%
0–210%
0–37%
0–43%
1
1–05%
1–110%
1–210%
1–36%
1–43%
2
2–03%
2–15%
2–25%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–01%
3–12%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–00%
4–10%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 0–1 (11%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
78%22%2.5
55%45%3.5
33%67%4.5
16%84%

Double chance

FC Levante Badalona W or draw
41%
FC Levante Badalona W or Real Madrid W
78%
Draw or Real Madrid W
81%

Winning margin

FC Levante Badalona W wins by 2+
6%
Real Madrid W wins by 2+
35%

Team goals

FC Levante Badalona W 1+ goals
62%
FC Levante Badalona W 2+ goals
25%
FC Levante Badalona W 3+ goals
7%
Real Madrid W 1+ goals
85%
Real Madrid W 2+ goals
57%
Real Madrid W 3+ goals
30%

Draw no bet

FC Levante Badalona W (draw refunded)
24%
Real Madrid W (draw refunded)
76%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
43%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

FC Levante Badalona W at home — creates 1.02, concedes 1.55 · 60 matches

Real Madrid W away — creates 2.29, concedes 0.92 · 92 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

FC Levante Badalona W attack 1.02 + Real Madrid W defence 0.92 → ÷2 → 0.97

Real Madrid W attack 2.29 + FC Levante Badalona W defence 1.55 → ÷2 → 1.92

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 59%?"

FC Levante Badalona W scores more
19%
level
22%
Real Madrid W scores more
59%

Real Madrid W at 59% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 59% does not mean "Real Madrid W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • FC Levante Badalona W win just 9% against the top half (vs 39% against the bottom)
  • Their last 8 meetings averaged 3.6 goals

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
W
WLDLL
W
WWWWD

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: FC Levante Badalona W host Real Madrid W

March 21, 2027: FC Levante Badalona W take on Real Madrid W in Primera División Femenina. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

FC Levante Badalona W host Real Madrid W at Estadi Municipal de Badalona.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.