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FC Helsingor vs Brønshøj — Friendlies Clubs 2026

FC Helsingor
FC Helsingor
CANC
09:30
Brønshøj
Brønshøj
11/23/2024Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Helsingør Stadion

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 9+ matches

FC Helsingor59%
×Draw21%
Brønshøj20%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 582,215 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

FC Helsingor
2.01
Brønshøj
1.08

FC Helsingor creates 86% more chances

Season form · 12 home / 9 away

creates per match

FC Helsingor
2.58
Brønshøj
1.33

allows per match

FC Helsingor
0.83
Brønshøj
1.44

finishing

FC Helsingor+0.00on par
Brønshøj+0.00on par

Total goals

59%Over
  • Over59
  • Under41

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

57%Yes
  • Yes57
  • No43

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

FC Helsingor ↓

Brønshøj →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–15%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–09%
1–110%
1–25%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–09%
2–110%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–06%
3–17%
3–24%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–03%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
81%19%2.5
59%41%3.5
37%63%4.5
20%80%

Double chance

FC Helsingor or draw
80%
FC Helsingor or Brønshøj
79%
Draw or Brønshøj
41%

Winning margin

FC Helsingor wins by 2+
35%
Brønshøj wins by 2+
7%

Team goals

FC Helsingor 1+ goals
87%
FC Helsingor 2+ goals
59%
FC Helsingor 3+ goals
32%
Brønshøj 1+ goals
66%
Brønshøj 2+ goals
29%
Brønshøj 3+ goals
10%

Draw no bet

FC Helsingor (draw refunded)
75%
Brønshøj (draw refunded)
25%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
47%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

FC Helsingor at home — creates 2.58, concedes 0.83 · 12 matches

Brønshøj away — creates 1.33, concedes 1.44 · 9 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

FC Helsingor attack 2.58 + Brønshøj defence 1.44 → ÷2 → 2.01

Brønshøj attack 1.33 + FC Helsingor defence 0.83 → ÷2 → 1.08

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 59%?"

FC Helsingor scores more
59%
level
21%
Brønshøj scores more
20%

FC Helsingor at 59% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 59% does not mean "FC Helsingor will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

FC Helsingor face Brønshøj (Friendlies Clubs)

Friendlies Clubs returns with FC Helsingor hosting Brønshøj. Match starts November 23, 2024. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

FC Helsingor host Brønshøj at Helsingør Stadion.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.