Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

FC Copenhagen vs Lyngby — Superliga 2018

FC Copenhagen
FC Copenhagen
Preview
14:00
Lyngby
Lyngby
7/26/2026SuperligaSuperliga · Round 1Parken Stadium
Big match
52%
FC Copenhagen
model favours
52%23%25%

Lyngby score first in only 18% of matches

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
57%
over 2.5 goals
58%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 6+ matches

FC Copenhagen52%
×Draw23%
Lyngby25%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.4%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 578,261 matches, vs 44.4% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

FC Copenhagen
1.81
Lyngby
1.17

FC Copenhagen creates 55% more chances

Season form · 14 home / 6 away

creates per match

FC Copenhagen
2.04
Lyngby
1.16

allows per match

FC Copenhagen
1.17
Lyngby
1.59

finishing

FC Copenhagen+0.17scores more
Lyngby-0.49scores less

Total goals

57%Over
  • Over57
  • Under43

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

58%Yes
  • Yes58
  • No42

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

FC Copenhagen ↓

Lyngby →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–16%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–09%
1–111%
1–26%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–110%
2–26%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–16%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
80%20%2.5
57%43%3.5
35%65%4.5
18%82%

Double chance

FC Copenhagen or draw
75%
FC Copenhagen or Lyngby
77%
Draw or Lyngby
48%

Winning margin

FC Copenhagen wins by 2+
29%
Lyngby wins by 2+
10%

Team goals

FC Copenhagen 1+ goals
84%
FC Copenhagen 2+ goals
54%
FC Copenhagen 3+ goals
27%
Lyngby 1+ goals
69%
Lyngby 2+ goals
33%
Lyngby 3+ goals
11%

Draw no bet

FC Copenhagen (draw refunded)
68%
Lyngby (draw refunded)
32%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
47%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

FC Copenhagen at home — creates 2.04, concedes 1.17 · 14 matches

Lyngby away — creates 1.16, concedes 1.59 · 6 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

FC Copenhagen attack 2.04 + Lyngby defence 1.59 → ÷2 → 1.81

Lyngby attack 1.16 + FC Copenhagen defence 1.17 → ÷2 → 1.17

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 52%?"

FC Copenhagen scores more
52%
level
23%
Lyngby scores more
25%

FC Copenhagen at 52% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 52% does not mean "FC Copenhagen will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • FC Copenhagen are unbeaten in 6 straight
  • Lyngby have won 3 in a row
  • FC Copenhagen have won 9 of the last 10 meetings
  • 35% of FC Copenhagen’s goals come after the 75th minute
  • Lyngby fall short of their xG (0.6 vs 1.1 expected)
  • Their last 10 meetings averaged 3.5 goals

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Style Matchup

Contrasting styles
FC Copenhagen
Attack-heavy
Lyngby
Balanced
52%Possession44%
82%Pass accuracy77%
14.8Shots11.2
1.79xGBiggest gap1.08
Pass acc.ShotsxGBox shareShot acc.Defense
FC CopenhagenLyngby

Head-to-head

10 previous meetings

9
FC Copenhagen
1
Draws
0
Lyngby
Avg goals: 3.5BTTS: 50%
3–02–12–04–02–1

Playing styles from match stats. Historical H2H record. Not a prediction.

Form
Copenhagen
WWDWD
Lyngby
WWWLL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: FC Copenhagen host Lyngby

July 26, 2026: FC Copenhagen take on Lyngby in Superliga. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

FC Copenhagen host Lyngby at Parken Stadium.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.