Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

FC BW Linz vs WSG Wattens — Bundesliga 2018

FC BW Linz
FC BW Linz
FT
5 – 0
HT: 2 – 0
WSG Wattens
WSG Wattens
4/11/2026BundesligaBundesliga · Relegation Group - 26Hofmann Personal Stadion

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 48+ matches

FC BW Linz47%
×Draw24%
WSG Wattens29%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

FC BW Linz
1.68
WSG Wattens
1.25

FC BW Linz creates 34% more chances

Season form · 48 home / 113 away

creates per match

FC BW Linz
1.42
WSG Wattens
1.20

allows per match

FC BW Linz
1.29
WSG Wattens
1.94

finishing

FC BW Linz+0.00on par
WSG Wattens+0.00on par

Total goals

56%Over
  • Over56
  • Under44

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

58%Yes
  • Yes58
  • No42

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

FC BW Linz ↓

WSG Wattens →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–17%
0–24%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–09%
1–111%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–19%
2–26%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–15%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
79%21%2.5
56%44%3.5
34%66%4.5
17%83%

Double chance

FC BW Linz or draw
71%
FC BW Linz or WSG Wattens
76%
Draw or WSG Wattens
53%

Winning margin

FC BW Linz wins by 2+
25%
WSG Wattens wins by 2+
12%

Team goals

FC BW Linz 1+ goals
81%
FC BW Linz 2+ goals
50%
FC BW Linz 3+ goals
24%
WSG Wattens 1+ goals
71%
WSG Wattens 2+ goals
36%
WSG Wattens 3+ goals
13%

Draw no bet

FC BW Linz (draw refunded)
62%
WSG Wattens (draw refunded)
38%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
47%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

FC BW Linz at home — creates 1.42, concedes 1.29 · 48 matches

WSG Wattens away — creates 1.20, concedes 1.94 · 113 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

FC BW Linz attack 1.42 + WSG Wattens defence 1.94 → ÷2 → 1.68

WSG Wattens attack 1.20 + FC BW Linz defence 1.29 → ÷2 → 1.25

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 47%?"

FC BW Linz scores more
47%
level
24%
WSG Wattens scores more
29%

FC BW Linz at 47% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 47% does not mean "FC BW Linz will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Bundesliga: FC BW Linz 5–0 WSG Wattens

FC BW Linz beat WSG Wattens 5-0 in Bundesliga on April 11, 2026.

The match was played at Hofmann Personal Stadion in Linz.