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FC Anyang vs Seongnam FC — K League 2 2026

FC Anyang
FC Anyang
FT
2 – 0
HT: 2 – 0
Seongnam FC
Seongnam FC
3/1/2024K League 2K League 2 · Round 1Anyang Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 84+ matches

FC Anyang42%
×Draw27%
Seongnam FC30%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

FC Anyang
1.35
Seongnam FC
1.10

FC Anyang creates 23% more chances

Season form · 126 home / 84 away

creates per match

FC Anyang
1.44
Seongnam FC
1.13

allows per match

FC Anyang
1.07
Seongnam FC
1.27

finishing

FC Anyang+0.00on par
Seongnam FC+0.00on par

Total goals

56%Under
  • Under56
  • Over44

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

51%No
  • No51
  • Yes49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

FC Anyang ↓

Seongnam FC →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–09%
0–19%
0–25%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–012%
1–113%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–19%
2–25%
2–32%
2–40%
3
3–04%
3–14%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
91%9%1.5
70%30%2.5
44%56%3.5
23%77%4.5
10%90%

Double chance

FC Anyang or draw
70%
FC Anyang or Seongnam FC
73%
Draw or Seongnam FC
58%

Winning margin

FC Anyang wins by 2+
20%
Seongnam FC wins by 2+
12%

Team goals

FC Anyang 1+ goals
74%
FC Anyang 2+ goals
39%
FC Anyang 3+ goals
15%
Seongnam FC 1+ goals
67%
Seongnam FC 2+ goals
30%
Seongnam FC 3+ goals
10%

Draw no bet

FC Anyang (draw refunded)
58%
Seongnam FC (draw refunded)
42%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
37%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

FC Anyang at home — creates 1.44, concedes 1.07 · 126 matches

Seongnam FC away — creates 1.13, concedes 1.27 · 84 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

FC Anyang attack 1.44 + Seongnam FC defence 1.27 → ÷2 → 1.35

Seongnam FC attack 1.13 + FC Anyang defence 1.07 → ÷2 → 1.10

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 42%?"

FC Anyang scores more
42%
level
27%
Seongnam FC scores more
30%

FC Anyang at 42% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 42% does not mean "FC Anyang will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: FC Anyang vs Seongnam FC

FC Anyang beat Seongnam FC 2-0 in K League 2 on March 1, 2024.

The match was played at Anyang Stadium in Anyang.