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FC Anyang vs Cheongju — K League 2 2026

FC Anyang
FC Anyang
FT
2 – 0
HT: 2 – 0
Cheongju
Cheongju
6/2/2024K League 2K League 2 · Round 16Anyang Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 63+ matches

FC Anyang43%
×Draw27%
Cheongju29%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

FC Anyang
1.35
Cheongju
1.06

FC Anyang creates 27% more chances

Season form · 126 home / 63 away

creates per match

FC Anyang
1.44
Cheongju
1.06

allows per match

FC Anyang
1.07
Cheongju
1.27

finishing

FC Anyang+0.00on par
Cheongju+0.00on par

Total goals

57%Under
  • Under57
  • Over43

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

52%No
  • No52
  • Yes48

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

FC Anyang ↓

Cheongju →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–09%
0–110%
0–25%
0–32%
0–40%
1
1–012%
1–113%
1–27%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–19%
2–25%
2–32%
2–40%
3
3–04%
3–14%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
91%9%1.5
69%31%2.5
43%57%3.5
22%78%4.5
10%90%

Double chance

FC Anyang or draw
71%
FC Anyang or Cheongju
73%
Draw or Cheongju
57%

Winning margin

FC Anyang wins by 2+
20%
Cheongju wins by 2+
11%

Team goals

FC Anyang 1+ goals
74%
FC Anyang 2+ goals
39%
FC Anyang 3+ goals
15%
Cheongju 1+ goals
65%
Cheongju 2+ goals
29%
Cheongju 3+ goals
9%

Draw no bet

FC Anyang (draw refunded)
60%
Cheongju (draw refunded)
40%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
36%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

FC Anyang at home — creates 1.44, concedes 1.07 · 126 matches

Cheongju away — creates 1.06, concedes 1.27 · 63 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

FC Anyang attack 1.44 + Cheongju defence 1.27 → ÷2 → 1.35

Cheongju attack 1.06 + FC Anyang defence 1.07 → ÷2 → 1.06

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 43%?"

FC Anyang scores more
43%
level
27%
Cheongju scores more
29%

FC Anyang at 43% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 43% does not mean "FC Anyang will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: FC Anyang vs Cheongju

FC Anyang beat Cheongju 2-0 in K League 2 on June 2, 2024.

The match was played at Anyang Stadium in Anyang.