FC Andorra 1–1 Cultural Leonesa: Result & Stats

FC Andorra

FT

1 – 1

HT: 0 – 1

Cultural Leonesa

J. Cerda 58'

L. Chacon 14'

1/10/2026

Segunda División · Round 21Estadi de la FAF

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 23+ matches

FC Andorra47%

×Draw26%

Cultural Leonesa27%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

FC AndorraExpected goals in this matchCultural Leonesa

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.51

1.08

FC Andorra

1.51

Cultural Leonesa

1.08

FC Andorra creates 40% more chances

Season form · 63 home / 23 away

1.24

creates per match

1.22

0.94

allows per match

1.78

creates per match

FC Andorra

1.24

Cultural Leonesa

1.22

allows per match

FC Andorra

0.94

Cultural Leonesa

1.78

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

FC Andorra+0.00on par

Cultural Leonesa+0.00on par

Total goals

Under52
Over48

Close call

Both teams score

Yes51
No49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

FC Andorra ↓

Cultural Leonesa →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–08%

0–18%

0–24%

0–32%

0–40%

1

1–011%

1–112%

1–27%

1–32%

1–41%

2

2–09%

2–19%

2–25%

2–32%

2–40%

3

3–04%

3–15%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

92%8%1.5

73%27%2.5

48%52%3.5

26%74%4.5

12%88%

Double chance

FC Andorra or draw

73%

FC Andorra or Cultural Leonesa

74%

Draw or Cultural Leonesa

53%

Winning margin

FC Andorra wins by 2+

24%

Cultural Leonesa wins by 2+

10%

Team goals

FC Andorra 1+ goals

78%

FC Andorra 2+ goals

44%

FC Andorra 3+ goals

19%

Cultural Leonesa 1+ goals

66%

Cultural Leonesa 2+ goals

29%

Cultural Leonesa 3+ goals

10%

Draw no bet

FC Andorra (draw refunded)

63%

Cultural Leonesa (draw refunded)

37%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

39%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

FC Andorra at home — creates 1.24, concedes 0.94 · 63 matches

Cultural Leonesa away — creates 1.22, concedes 1.78 · 23 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

FC Andorra attack 1.24 + Cultural Leonesa defence 1.78 → ÷2 → 1.51

Cultural Leonesa attack 1.22 + FC Andorra defence 0.94 → ÷2 → 1.08

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 47%?"

FC Andorra scores more

47%

level

26%

Cultural Leonesa scores more

27%

FC Andorra at 47% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 47% does not mean "FC Andorra will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

21

J. Cerda

FC Andorra · F

8.3

Match Events

-5'

Yayo González

14'

L. Chacon

45+2'

Matia Barzić

46'

A. Olabarrieta← M. Kim

46'

46'

51'

58'

64'

S. Maestre← M. Diallo Selu

64'

Bicho← L. Chacon

64'

J. Larios← L. Ribeiro

67'

71'

72'

76'

88'

I. Calero← R. Tresaco

89'

T. Le Normand← D. Villahermosa

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

FCCultural

Overview

72%Possession28%

18Total Shots2

2.06Expected Goals (xG)0.54

10Corners1

6Fouls13

Shots

18Total Shots2

5On Target2

9Off Target0

4Blocked0

14Inside Box1

4Outside Box1

Passing

72%Possession28%

602Total Passes241

543Accurate Passes170

90%Pass Accuracy71%

Goalkeeping

1Saves4

Discipline

6Fouls13

1Yellow Cards4

2Offsides0

Match Recap: FC Andorra vs Cultural Leonesa

FC Andorra and Cultural Leonesa drew 1-1 in Segunda División on January 10, 2026.

Goals: L. Chacon (14'), J. Cerda (58').

FC Andorra controlled possession (72%) and registered 18 shots to 2.

The match was played at Estadi de la FAF in Encamp.

FC Andorra vs Cultural Leonesa — Segunda División 2018

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Match Recap: FC Andorra vs Cultural Leonesa