Cultural Leonesa 0–4 FC Andorra: Result & Stats

Cultural Leonesa

FT

0 – 4

HT: 0 – 2

FC Andorra

Y. Cabanzon 83'

M. Nieto 79'

M. Domenech 32'

Lauti 5'

3/29/2026

Segunda División · Round 32Estadio Municipal Reino de León

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 21+ matches

Cultural Leonesa30%

×Draw28%

FC Andorra42%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Cultural LeonesaExpected goals in this matchFC Andorra

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.03

1.27

Cultural Leonesa

1.03

FC Andorra

1.27

FC Andorra creates 23% more chances

Season form · 21 home / 63 away

0.71

creates per match

1.02

1.52

allows per match

1.35

creates per match

Cultural Leonesa

0.71

FC Andorra

1.02

allows per match

Cultural Leonesa

1.52

FC Andorra

1.35

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Cultural Leonesa+0.00on par

FC Andorra+0.00on par

Total goals

Under60
Over40

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No54
Yes46

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Cultural Leonesa ↓

FC Andorra →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–010%

0–113%

0–28%

0–33%

0–41%

1

1–010%

1–113%

1–28%

1–34%

1–41%

2

2–05%

2–17%

2–24%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–02%

3–12%

3–21%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–00%

4–11%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 0–1 (13%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

90%10%1.5

67%33%2.5

40%60%3.5

20%80%4.5

8%92%

Double chance

Cultural Leonesa or draw

58%

Cultural Leonesa or FC Andorra

72%

Draw or FC Andorra

70%

Winning margin

Cultural Leonesa wins by 2+

11%

FC Andorra wins by 2+

19%

Team goals

Cultural Leonesa 1+ goals

64%

Cultural Leonesa 2+ goals

28%

Cultural Leonesa 3+ goals

9%

FC Andorra 1+ goals

72%

FC Andorra 2+ goals

36%

FC Andorra 3+ goals

14%

Draw no bet

Cultural Leonesa (draw refunded)

42%

FC Andorra (draw refunded)

58%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

33%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Cultural Leonesa at home — creates 0.71, concedes 1.52 · 21 matches

FC Andorra away — creates 1.02, concedes 1.35 · 63 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Cultural Leonesa attack 0.71 + FC Andorra defence 1.35 → ÷2 → 1.03

FC Andorra attack 1.02 + Cultural Leonesa defence 1.52 → ÷2 → 1.27

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 42%?"

Cultural Leonesa scores more

30%

level

28%

FC Andorra scores more

42%

FC Andorra at 42% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 42% does not mean "FC Andorra will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

13

J. Owono

FC Andorra · G

8.7

Match Events

5'

Lauti↳ J. Cerda

32'

M. Domenech↳ G. Jastin

35'

Lucas RibeiroMissed penalty

37'

Diego Alende

45'

Lucas Ribeiro

45+3'

Marti Vila Garcia

46'

Q. Fornos← P. Rodriguez

46'

V. Moreno← H. Al Amin

57'

Bicho← D. Collado

60'

M. Nieto← G. Jastin

66'

R. Sobrino← V. Garcia

72'

I. Garcia← M. Vila

72'

Y. Cabanzon← Lauti

76'

M. Justo← L. Ribeiro

79'

M. Nieto↳ Y. Cabanzon

83'

Y. Cabanzon

84'

A. Petxa← J. Cerda

84'

E. Akman← D. Villahermosa

89'

Ivan Calero

90+3'

Matia Barzić

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

CulturalFC

Overview

52%Possession48%

10Total Shots11

1.62Expected Goals (xG)1.09

1Corners2

15Fouls15

Shots

10Total Shots11

6On Target7

2Off Target4

2Blocked0

5Inside Box7

5Outside Box4

Passing

52%Possession48%

442Total Passes421

358Accurate Passes347

81%Pass Accuracy82%

Goalkeeping

3Saves6

Discipline

15Fouls15

3Yellow Cards2

1Offsides2