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FC Andorra vs Cadiz — Segunda División 2018

FC Andorra
FC Andorra
FT
0 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Cadiz
Cadiz
11/2/2025Segunda DivisiónSegunda División · Round 12Estadi de la FAF

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 63+ matches

FC Andorra42%
×Draw28%
Cadiz30%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

FC Andorra
1.25
Cadiz
1.01

FC Andorra creates 24% more chances

Season form · 63 home / 84 away

creates per match

FC Andorra
1.24
Cadiz
1.08

allows per match

FC Andorra
0.94
Cadiz
1.25

finishing

FC Andorra+0.00on par
Cadiz+0.00on par

Total goals

61%Under
  • Under61
  • Over39

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

55%No
  • No55
  • Yes45

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

FC Andorra ↓

Cadiz →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–010%
0–111%
0–25%
0–32%
0–40%
1
1–013%
1–113%
1–27%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–18%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–03%
3–13%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (13%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
90%10%1.5
66%34%2.5
39%61%3.5
19%81%4.5
8%92%

Double chance

FC Andorra or draw
70%
FC Andorra or Cadiz
72%
Draw or Cadiz
58%

Winning margin

FC Andorra wins by 2+
19%
Cadiz wins by 2+
11%

Team goals

FC Andorra 1+ goals
71%
FC Andorra 2+ goals
36%
FC Andorra 3+ goals
13%
Cadiz 1+ goals
64%
Cadiz 2+ goals
27%
Cadiz 3+ goals
8%

Draw no bet

FC Andorra (draw refunded)
58%
Cadiz (draw refunded)
42%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
32%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

FC Andorra at home — creates 1.24, concedes 0.94 · 63 matches

Cadiz away — creates 1.08, concedes 1.25 · 84 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

FC Andorra attack 1.24 + Cadiz defence 1.25 → ÷2 → 1.25

Cadiz attack 1.08 + FC Andorra defence 0.94 → ÷2 → 1.01

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 42%?"

FC Andorra scores more
42%
level
28%
Cadiz scores more
30%

FC Andorra at 42% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 42% does not mean "FC Andorra will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

13
V. AznarCadizCadiz · G
7.6

Match Events

45+1'
Mario Climent
46'
J. de la Rosa← I. Tabatadze
46'
J. Ontiveros← R. Marti
63'
Thomas Carrique
63'
G. Jastin← A. Olabarrieta
71'
D. Camara← A. Pascual
71'
E. Ugiagbe← Suso
74'
M. Domenech← T. Le Normand
74'
Lauti← M. Nieto
81'
Efe Ugiagbe
84'
A. Fernandez← S. Ortuno
86'
J. Cerda← D. Villahermosa
90+3'
Gael Alonso
90+1'
Imanol García de Albéniz

Possession

56%FC

Shots

15FC

Pass accuracy

53%FC

Statistics

FCCadiz
Overview
56%Possession44%
15Total Shots5
1.31Expected Goals (xG)0.26
9Corners3
19Fouls14
Shots
15Total Shots5
4On Target1
4Off Target4
7Blocked0
10Inside Box2
5Outside Box3
Passing
56%Possession44%
415Total Passes339
350Accurate Passes258
84%Pass Accuracy76%
Goalkeeping
1Saves3
Discipline
19Fouls14
3Yellow Cards2
2Offsides1

Match Recap: FC Andorra vs Cadiz

FC Andorra and Cadiz drew 0-0 in Segunda División on November 2, 2025.

FC Andorra controlled possession (56%) and registered 15 shots to 5.

The match was played at Estadi de la FAF in Encamp.