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Farnborough vs Slough Town — League #51 2026

Farnborough
Farnborough
FT
2 – 0
HT: 1 – 0
Slough Town
Slough Town
M. Bloomfield 68'
H. Sandah 35'
3/21/2026League #51League #51 · South - 40Saunders Transport Community Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 4+ matches

Farnborough60%
×Draw21%
Slough Town19%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.4%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 578,261 matches, vs 44.4% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Farnborough
2.08
Slough Town
1.08

Farnborough creates 93% more chances

Season form · 21 home / 4 away

creates per match

Farnborough
1.90
Slough Town
0.50

allows per match

Farnborough
1.67
Slough Town
2.25

finishing

Farnborough+0.00on par
Slough Town+0.00on par

Total goals

61%Over
  • Over61
  • Under39

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

58%Yes
  • Yes58
  • No42

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Farnborough ↓

Slough Town →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–15%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–09%
1–110%
1–25%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–09%
2–110%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–06%
3–17%
3–24%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–03%
4–14%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
82%18%2.5
61%39%3.5
39%61%4.5
21%79%

Double chance

Farnborough or draw
81%
Farnborough or Slough Town
79%
Draw or Slough Town
40%

Winning margin

Farnborough wins by 2+
37%
Slough Town wins by 2+
7%

Team goals

Farnborough 1+ goals
87%
Farnborough 2+ goals
61%
Farnborough 3+ goals
34%
Slough Town 1+ goals
66%
Slough Town 2+ goals
29%
Slough Town 3+ goals
10%

Draw no bet

Farnborough (draw refunded)
76%
Slough Town (draw refunded)
24%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
48%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Farnborough at home — creates 1.90, concedes 1.67 · 21 matches

Slough Town away — creates 0.50, concedes 2.25 · 4 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Farnborough attack 1.90 + Slough Town defence 2.25 → ÷2 → 2.08

Slough Town attack 0.50 + Farnborough defence 1.67 → ÷2 → 1.08

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 60%?"

Farnborough scores more
60%
level
21%
Slough Town scores more
19%

Farnborough at 60% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 60% does not mean "Farnborough will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

35'
H. Sandah
68'
M. Bloomfield
89'
R. Greenidge
89'
R. Greenidge

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

League #51: Farnborough 2–0 Slough Town

Farnborough beat Slough Town 2-0 in League #51 on March 21, 2026.

Goals: H. Sandah (35'), M. Bloomfield (68').

The match was played at Saunders Transport Community Stadium in Farnborough, Hampshire.