Famos Vojkovići 2–1 Drina Zvornik: Result & Stats

Famos Vojkovići

FT

2 – 1

HT: 1 – 1

Drina Zvornik

8/30/2025

1st League - RS · RS - 4Stadion Branislav Lubura

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 66+ matches

Famos Vojkovići62%

×Draw23%

Drina Zvornik15%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.3%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Famos VojkovićiExpected goals in this matchDrina Zvornik

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.77

0.73

Famos Vojkovići

1.77

Drina Zvornik

0.73

Famos Vojkovići creates 142% more chances

Season form · 66 home / 96 away

1.71

creates per match

0.71

0.76

allows per match

1.83

creates per match

Famos Vojkovići

1.71

Drina Zvornik

0.71

allows per match

Famos Vojkovići

0.76

Drina Zvornik

1.83

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Famos Vojkovići+0.00on par

Drina Zvornik+0.00on par

Total goals

Under55
Over45

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No57
Yes43

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Famos Vojkovići ↓

Drina Zvornik →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–08%

0–16%

0–22%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–015%

1–111%

1–24%

1–31%

1–40%

2

2–013%

2–19%

2–23%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–08%

3–16%

3–22%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–03%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (15%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

92%8%1.5

71%29%2.5

45%55%3.5

24%76%4.5

11%89%

Double chance

Famos Vojkovići or draw

85%

Famos Vojkovići or Drina Zvornik

77%

Draw or Drina Zvornik

38%

Winning margin

Famos Vojkovići wins by 2+

36%

Drina Zvornik wins by 2+

4%

Team goals

Famos Vojkovići 1+ goals

83%

Famos Vojkovići 2+ goals

53%

Famos Vojkovići 3+ goals

26%

Drina Zvornik 1+ goals

52%

Drina Zvornik 2+ goals

17%

Drina Zvornik 3+ goals

4%

Draw no bet

Famos Vojkovići (draw refunded)

81%

Drina Zvornik (draw refunded)

19%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

32%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Famos Vojkovići at home — creates 1.71, concedes 0.76 · 66 matches

Drina Zvornik away — creates 0.71, concedes 1.83 · 96 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Famos Vojkovići attack 1.71 + Drina Zvornik defence 1.83 → ÷2 → 1.77

Drina Zvornik attack 0.71 + Famos Vojkovići defence 0.76 → ÷2 → 0.73

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 62%?"

Famos Vojkovići scores more

62%

level

23%

Drina Zvornik scores more

15%

Famos Vojkovići at 62% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 62% does not mean "Famos Vojkovići will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff