Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Fakel Voronezh vs Veles — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Fakel Voronezh
Fakel Voronezh
FT
1 – 1
Veles
Veles
6/26/2021Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Central'nyj stadion Bronnitsy

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 6+ matches

Fakel Voronezh43%
×Draw24%
Veles33%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Fakel Voronezh
1.67
Veles
1.44

Fakel Voronezh creates 16% more chances

Season form · 9 home / 6 away

creates per match

Fakel Voronezh
2.00
Veles
1.67

allows per match

Fakel Voronezh
1.22
Veles
1.33

finishing

Fakel Voronezh+0.00on par
Veles+0.00on par

Total goals

60%Over
  • Over60
  • Under40

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

62%Yes
  • Yes62
  • No38

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Fakel Voronezh ↓

Veles →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–16%
0–25%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–07%
1–111%
1–28%
1–34%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–19%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–15%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
82%18%2.5
60%40%3.5
38%62%4.5
20%80%

Double chance

Fakel Voronezh or draw
67%
Fakel Voronezh or Veles
76%
Draw or Veles
57%

Winning margin

Fakel Voronezh wins by 2+
22%
Veles wins by 2+
15%

Team goals

Fakel Voronezh 1+ goals
81%
Fakel Voronezh 2+ goals
50%
Fakel Voronezh 3+ goals
23%
Veles 1+ goals
76%
Veles 2+ goals
42%
Veles 3+ goals
18%

Draw no bet

Fakel Voronezh (draw refunded)
56%
Veles (draw refunded)
44%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
51%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Fakel Voronezh at home — creates 2.00, concedes 1.22 · 9 matches

Veles away — creates 1.67, concedes 1.33 · 6 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Fakel Voronezh attack 2.00 + Veles defence 1.33 → ÷2 → 1.67

Veles attack 1.67 + Fakel Voronezh defence 1.22 → ÷2 → 1.44

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 43%?"

Fakel Voronezh scores more
43%
level
24%
Veles scores more
33%

Fakel Voronezh at 43% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 43% does not mean "Fakel Voronezh will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Friendlies Clubs: Fakel Voronezh 1–1 Veles

Fakel Voronezh and Veles drew 1-1 in Friendlies Clubs on June 26, 2021.

The match was played at Central'nyj stadion Bronnitsy in Bronnitsy.