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FA 2000 vs AB Copenhagen — Friendlies Clubs 2026

FA 2000
FA 2000
CANC
13:00
AB Copenhagen
AB Copenhagen
2/15/2025Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Frederiksberg IP

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 9+ matches

FA 200041%
×Draw24%
AB Copenhagen35%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

FA 2000
1.64
AB Copenhagen
1.50

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 9 home / 11 away

creates per match

FA 2000
2.00
AB Copenhagen
1.55

allows per match

FA 2000
1.44
AB Copenhagen
1.27

finishing

FA 2000+0.00on par
AB Copenhagen+0.00on par

Total goals

61%Over
  • Over61
  • Under39

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

63%Yes
  • Yes63
  • No37

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

FA 2000 ↓

AB Copenhagen →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–17%
0–25%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–07%
1–111%
1–28%
1–34%
1–42%
2
2–06%
2–19%
2–27%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–15%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
82%18%2.5
61%39%3.5
38%62%4.5
21%79%

Double chance

FA 2000 or draw
65%
FA 2000 or AB Copenhagen
76%
Draw or AB Copenhagen
59%

Winning margin

FA 2000 wins by 2+
21%
AB Copenhagen wins by 2+
17%

Team goals

FA 2000 1+ goals
81%
FA 2000 2+ goals
49%
FA 2000 3+ goals
23%
AB Copenhagen 1+ goals
78%
AB Copenhagen 2+ goals
44%
AB Copenhagen 3+ goals
19%

Draw no bet

FA 2000 (draw refunded)
54%
AB Copenhagen (draw refunded)
46%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
52%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

FA 2000 at home — creates 2.00, concedes 1.44 · 9 matches

AB Copenhagen away — creates 1.55, concedes 1.27 · 11 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

FA 2000 attack 2.00 + AB Copenhagen defence 1.27 → ÷2 → 1.64

AB Copenhagen attack 1.55 + FA 2000 defence 1.44 → ÷2 → 1.50

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 41%?"

FA 2000 scores more
41%
level
24%
AB Copenhagen scores more
35%

FA 2000 at 41% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 41% does not mean "FA 2000 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: FA 2000 host AB Copenhagen

February 15, 2025: FA 2000 take on AB Copenhagen in Friendlies Clubs. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

FA 2000 host AB Copenhagen at Frederiksberg IP.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.