F91 Dudelange 0–0 FC Differdange 03: Result & Stats

F91 Dudelange

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

FC Differdange 03

3/22/2026

National Division · Round 22Stade Jos Nosbaum

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 111+ matches

F91 Dudelange44%

×Draw23%

FC Differdange 0333%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.3%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

F91 DudelangeExpected goals in this matchFC Differdange 03

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.78

1.51

F91 Dudelange

1.78

FC Differdange 03

1.51

F91 Dudelange creates 18% more chances

Season form · 111 home / 112 away

2.45

creates per match

1.83

1.19

allows per match

1.10

creates per match

F91 Dudelange

2.45

FC Differdange 03

1.83

allows per match

F91 Dudelange

1.19

FC Differdange 03

1.10

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

F91 Dudelange+0.00on par

FC Differdange 03+0.00on par

Total goals

Over64
Under36

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes65
No35

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

F91 Dudelange ↓

FC Differdange 03 →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–04%

0–16%

0–24%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–07%

1–110%

1–28%

1–34%

1–41%

2

2–06%

2–19%

2–27%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–04%

3–15%

3–24%

3–32%

3–41%

4

4–02%

4–12%

4–22%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

96%4%1.5

84%16%2.5

64%36%3.5

42%58%4.5

23%77%

Double chance

F91 Dudelange or draw

67%

F91 Dudelange or FC Differdange 03

77%

Draw or FC Differdange 03

56%

Winning margin

F91 Dudelange wins by 2+

24%

FC Differdange 03 wins by 2+

15%

Team goals

F91 Dudelange 1+ goals

83%

F91 Dudelange 2+ goals

53%

F91 Dudelange 3+ goals

26%

FC Differdange 03 1+ goals

78%

FC Differdange 03 2+ goals

44%

FC Differdange 03 3+ goals

19%

Draw no bet

F91 Dudelange (draw refunded)

57%

FC Differdange 03 (draw refunded)

43%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

55%

Both score & under 3

10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

F91 Dudelange at home — creates 2.45, concedes 1.19 · 111 matches

FC Differdange 03 away — creates 1.83, concedes 1.10 · 112 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

F91 Dudelange attack 2.45 + FC Differdange 03 defence 1.10 → ÷2 → 1.78

FC Differdange 03 attack 1.83 + F91 Dudelange defence 1.19 → ÷2 → 1.51

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 44%?"

F91 Dudelange scores more

44%

level

23%

FC Differdange 03 scores more

33%

F91 Dudelange at 44% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 44% does not mean "F91 Dudelange will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: F91 Dudelange vs FC Differdange 03

F91 Dudelange and FC Differdange 03 drew 0-0 in National Division on March 22, 2026.

The match was played at Stade Jos Nosbaum in Dudelange.

F91 Dudelange vs FC Differdange 03 — National Division 2018

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Head to Head

Match Recap: F91 Dudelange vs FC Differdange 03