Everton de Vina 0–0 Coquimbo Unido: Result & Stats

Everton de Vina

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Coquimbo Unido

3/15/2025

Primera División · Round 5Estadio Sausalito

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 7+ matches

Everton de Vina40%

×Draw27%

Coquimbo Unido34%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Everton de VinaExpected goals in this matchCoquimbo Unido

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.33

1.20

Everton de Vina

1.33

Coquimbo Unido

1.20

Everton de Vina creates 11% more chances

Season form · 7 home / 13 away

1.57

creates per match

1.33

1.06

allows per match

1.10

creates per match

Everton de Vina

1.57

Coquimbo Unido

1.33

allows per match

Everton de Vina

1.06

Coquimbo Unido

1.10

-0.28scores less than expected

finishing

-0.33scores less than expected

finishing

Everton de Vina-0.28scores less

Coquimbo Unido-0.33scores less

Total goals

Under54
Over46

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

Yes51
No49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Everton de Vina ↓

Coquimbo Unido →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–08%

0–110%

0–26%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–011%

1–113%

1–28%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–07%

2–18%

2–25%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–03%

3–14%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

92%8%1.5

72%28%2.5

46%54%3.5

25%75%4.5

11%89%

Double chance

Everton de Vina or draw

66%

Everton de Vina or Coquimbo Unido

73%

Draw or Coquimbo Unido

60%

Winning margin

Everton de Vina wins by 2+

18%

Coquimbo Unido wins by 2+

14%

Team goals

Everton de Vina 1+ goals

74%

Everton de Vina 2+ goals

38%

Everton de Vina 3+ goals

15%

Coquimbo Unido 1+ goals

70%

Coquimbo Unido 2+ goals

34%

Coquimbo Unido 3+ goals

12%

Draw no bet

Everton de Vina (draw refunded)

54%

Coquimbo Unido (draw refunded)

46%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

39%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Everton de Vina at home — creates 1.57, concedes 1.06 · 7 matches

Coquimbo Unido away — creates 1.33, concedes 1.10 · 13 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Everton de Vina attack 1.57 + Coquimbo Unido defence 1.10 → ÷2 → 1.33

Coquimbo Unido attack 1.33 + Everton de Vina defence 1.06 → ÷2 → 1.20

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 40%?"

Everton de Vina scores more

40%

level

27%

Coquimbo Unido scores more

34%

Everton de Vina at 40% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 40% does not mean "Everton de Vina will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

17

F. Salinas

Coquimbo Unido · D

8.3

Match Events

-5'

Cristóbal Dorador

9'

Lucas Soto

42'

Diego HernándezGoal cancelled

46'

Matias Palavecino

59'

N. Donadell← B. Chandia

60'

M. Campos← J. Cruz

70'

C. Waterman← N. Johansen

70'

S. Cabrera← A. E. Azocar Machuca

72'

B. Berrios← R. Pineiro

81'

A. Ibacache← N. Baeza

81'

E. M. Ramos Aviles← A. Medina

84'

86'

90+2'

90+1'

90+2'

J. Flores← M. Palavecino

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

EvertonCoquimbo

Overview

67%Possession33%

11Total Shots11

0.65Expected Goals (xG)1.62

10Corners2

12Fouls15

Shots

11Total Shots11

2On Target5

6Off Target4

3Blocked2

4Inside Box7

7Outside Box4

Passing

67%Possession33%

530Total Passes261

445Accurate Passes180

84%Pass Accuracy69%

Goalkeeping

5Saves2

Discipline

12Fouls15

3Yellow Cards3

0Red Cards1

0Offsides1

Match Recap: Everton de Vina vs Coquimbo Unido

Everton de Vina and Coquimbo Unido drew 0-0 in Primera División on March 15, 2025.

Everton de Vina controlled possession (67%) and registered 11 shots to 11.

The match was played at Estadio Sausalito in Vina del Mar.

Everton de Vina vs Coquimbo Unido — Primera División 2018

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Match Recap: Everton de Vina vs Coquimbo Unido