Europa Fc 2–0 FC Cartagena: Result & Stats

Europa Fc

FT

2 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

FC Cartagena

11/16/2025

Primera División RFEF - Group 2 · Group 2 - 12Nou Sardenya Municipal Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 19+ matches

Europa Fc49%

×Draw27%

FC Cartagena24%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Europa FcExpected goals in this matchFC Cartagena

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.42

0.90

Europa Fc

1.42

FC Cartagena

0.90

Europa Fc creates 58% more chances

Season form · 19 home / 19 away

1.68

creates per match

0.58

1.21

allows per match

1.16

creates per match

Europa Fc

1.68

FC Cartagena

0.58

allows per match

Europa Fc

1.21

FC Cartagena

1.16

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Europa Fc+0.00on par

FC Cartagena+0.00on par

Total goals

Under59
Over41

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No55
Yes45

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Europa Fc ↓

FC Cartagena →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–010%

0–19%

0–24%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–014%

1–113%

1–26%

1–32%

1–40%

2

2–010%

2–19%

2–24%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–05%

3–14%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (14%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

90%10%1.5

67%33%2.5

41%59%3.5

20%80%4.5

9%91%

Double chance

Europa Fc or draw

76%

Europa Fc or FC Cartagena

73%

Draw or FC Cartagena

51%

Winning margin

Europa Fc wins by 2+

24%

FC Cartagena wins by 2+

8%

Team goals

Europa Fc 1+ goals

76%

Europa Fc 2+ goals

41%

Europa Fc 3+ goals

17%

FC Cartagena 1+ goals

59%

FC Cartagena 2+ goals

23%

FC Cartagena 3+ goals

6%

Draw no bet

Europa Fc (draw refunded)

67%

FC Cartagena (draw refunded)

33%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

32%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Europa Fc at home — creates 1.68, concedes 1.21 · 19 matches

FC Cartagena away — creates 0.58, concedes 1.16 · 19 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Europa Fc attack 1.68 + FC Cartagena defence 1.16 → ÷2 → 1.42

FC Cartagena attack 0.58 + Europa Fc defence 1.21 → ÷2 → 0.90

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 49%?"

Europa Fc scores more

49%

level

27%

FC Cartagena scores more

24%

Europa Fc at 49% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 49% does not mean "Europa Fc will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Primera División RFEF - Group 2: Europa Fc 2–0 FC Cartagena

Europa Fc beat FC Cartagena 2-0 in Primera División RFEF - Group 2 on November 16, 2025.

The match was played at Nou Sardenya Municipal Stadium in Barcelona.

Europa Fc vs FC Cartagena — Primera División RFEF - Group 2 2019

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Head to Head

Primera División RFEF - Group 2: Europa Fc 2–0 FC Cartagena