Estac Troyes 0–0 Laval: Result & Stats | Ligue 2

Estac Troyes

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Laval

11/1/2024

Ligue 2 · Round 12Stade de l'Aube

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 189+ matches

Estac Troyes52%

×Draw27%

Laval21%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Estac TroyesExpected goals in this matchLaval

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.46

0.83

Estac Troyes

1.46

Laval

0.83

Estac Troyes creates 76% more chances

Season form · 189 home / 206 away

1.63

creates per match

0.80

0.87

allows per match

1.30

creates per match

Estac Troyes

1.63

Laval

0.80

allows per match

Estac Troyes

0.87

Laval

1.30

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Estac Troyes+0.00on par

Laval+0.00on par

Total goals

Under60
Over40

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No57
Yes43

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Estac Troyes ↓

Laval →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–010%

0–18%

0–23%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–015%

1–112%

1–25%

1–31%

1–40%

2

2–011%

2–19%

2–24%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–05%

3–14%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (15%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

90%10%1.5

67%33%2.5

40%60%3.5

20%80%4.5

8%92%

Double chance

Estac Troyes or draw

79%

Estac Troyes or Laval

73%

Draw or Laval

48%

Winning margin

Estac Troyes wins by 2+

26%

Laval wins by 2+

7%

Team goals

Estac Troyes 1+ goals

77%

Estac Troyes 2+ goals

43%

Estac Troyes 3+ goals

18%

Laval 1+ goals

56%

Laval 2+ goals

20%

Laval 3+ goals

5%

Draw no bet

Estac Troyes (draw refunded)

71%

Laval (draw refunded)

29%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

31%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Estac Troyes at home — creates 1.63, concedes 0.87 · 189 matches

Laval away — creates 0.80, concedes 1.30 · 206 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Estac Troyes attack 1.63 + Laval defence 1.30 → ÷2 → 1.46

Laval attack 0.80 + Estac Troyes defence 0.87 → ÷2 → 0.83

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 52%?"

Estac Troyes scores more

52%

level

27%

Laval scores more

21%

Estac Troyes at 52% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 52% does not mean "Estac Troyes will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

30

M. Samassa

Laval · G

7.9

Match Events

17'

27'

35'

41'

56'

65'

M. Tchokounté← S. Doucouré

66'

Loïs Martins← M. Camara

68'

R. Ripart← P. Ba

69'

M. Adeline← J. Nonge Boende

72'

R. Saïd← K. Dong

72'

J. Assoumou← C. Irié

78'

S. Sanna← M. Sellouki

84'

K. Zohi← J. Roye

86'

R. Fage← Y. MChangama

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

EstacLaval

Overview

59%Possession41%

9Total Shots9

5Corners5

14Fouls18

Shots

9Total Shots9

5On Target1

3Off Target2

1Blocked6

5Inside Box5

4Outside Box4

Passing

59%Possession41%

542Total Passes367

474Accurate Passes290

87%Pass Accuracy79%

Goalkeeping

1Saves5

Discipline

14Fouls18

3Yellow Cards2

1Offsides1

Match Recap: Estac Troyes vs Laval

Estac Troyes and Laval drew 0-0 in Ligue 2 on November 1, 2024.

Estac Troyes controlled possession (59%) and registered 9 shots to 9.

The match was played at Stade de l'Aube in Troyes.

Estac Troyes vs Laval — Ligue 2 2010

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Match Recap: Estac Troyes vs Laval