Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Enppi vs Zamalek SC — Premier League 2025

Enppi
Enppi
FT
1 – 0
HT: 1 – 0
Zamalek SC
Zamalek SC
A. El Agouz 18' (pen)
3/11/2026Premier LeaguePremier League · Round 15Arab Contractors Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 12+ matches

Enppi27%
×Draw28%
Zamalek SC45%
✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
48.6%
Always home
43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Enppi
0.97
Zamalek SC
1.35

Zamalek SC creates 39% more chances

Season form · 12 home / 15 away

creates per match

Enppi
1.00
Zamalek SC
1.87

allows per match

Enppi
0.83
Zamalek SC
0.93

finishing

Enppi+0.00on par
Zamalek SC+0.00on par

Total goals

59%Under
  • Under59
  • Over41

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

54%No
  • No54
  • Yes46

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Enppi ↓

Zamalek SC →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–010%
0–113%
0–29%
0–34%
0–41%
1
1–010%
1–113%
1–29%
1–34%
1–41%
2
2–05%
2–16%
2–24%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–01%
3–12%
3–21%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–00%
4–10%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 0–1 (13%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
90%10%1.5
67%33%2.5
41%59%3.5
20%80%4.5
9%91%

Double chance

Enppi or draw
55%
Enppi or Zamalek SC
72%
Draw or Zamalek SC
73%

Winning margin

Enppi wins by 2+
10%
Zamalek SC wins by 2+
21%

Team goals

Enppi 1+ goals
62%
Enppi 2+ goals
25%
Enppi 3+ goals
7%
Zamalek SC 1+ goals
74%
Zamalek SC 2+ goals
39%
Zamalek SC 3+ goals
15%

Draw no bet

Enppi (draw refunded)
37%
Zamalek SC (draw refunded)
63%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
33%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Enppi at home — creates 1.00, concedes 0.83 · 12 matches

Zamalek SC away — creates 1.87, concedes 0.93 · 15 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Enppi attack 1.00 + Zamalek SC defence 0.93 → ÷2 → 0.97

Zamalek SC attack 1.87 + Enppi defence 0.83 → ÷2 → 1.35

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 45%?"

Enppi scores more
27%
level
28%
Zamalek SC scores more
45%

Zamalek SC at 45% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 45% does not mean "Zamalek SC will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

5
H. AbdelmaguidZamalek SCZamalek SC · D
7.9

Match Events

18'
A. El AgouzPenalty
30'
Ahmed Sebiha
38'
O. Dabbagh← M. El Sayed
41'
Mohamed Ismail
46'
A. Kaied← A. Rabie
63'
E. Mayhoub← M. Sherif
63'
M. Sayed← A. El Agouz
76'
Y. Wael← A. Fatouh
77'
S. Zayed← H. Abdallah
78'
Kirki← A. Mahmoud
83'
Kahraba← A. Abdallah
83'
S. Jaziri← M. I. Hassan
89'
Mahmoud Bentayg

Possession

39%Enppi

Shots

13Enppi

Pass accuracy

45%Enppi

Statistics

EnppiZamalek
Overview
39%Possession61%
13Total Shots11
2.44Expected Goals (xG)1.84
5Corners4
10Fouls17
Shots
13Total Shots11
3On Target1
8Off Target3
2Blocked7
10Inside Box8
3Outside Box3
Passing
39%Possession61%
254Total Passes407
159Accurate Passes312
63%Pass Accuracy77%
Goalkeeping
1Saves1
-0.01Goals Prevented-0.01
Discipline
10Fouls17
1Yellow Cards2
1Offsides4

Match Recap: Enppi vs Zamalek SC

Enppi beat Zamalek SC 1-0 in Premier League on March 11, 2026.

Goals: A. El Agouz (18' pen).

Zamalek SC controlled possession (61%) and registered 11 shots to 13.

The match was played at Arab Contractors Stadium in Cairo.