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Enppi vs Ceramica Cleopatra — League Cup 2021

Enppi
Enppi
FT
2 – 0
HT: 1 – 0
Ceramica Cleopatra
Ceramica Cleopatra
1/6/2026League CupLeague Cup · Group Stage - 5Petrosport Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 13+ matches

Enppi34%
×Draw31%
Ceramica Cleopatra34%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Enppi
0.97
Ceramica Cleopatra
0.97

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 14 home / 13 away

creates per match

Enppi
0.93
Ceramica Cleopatra
1.23

allows per match

Enppi
0.71
Ceramica Cleopatra
1.00

finishing

Enppi+0.00on par
Ceramica Cleopatra+0.00on par

Total goals

69%Under
  • Under69
  • Over31

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

61%No
  • No61
  • Yes39

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Enppi ↓

Ceramica Cleopatra →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–014%
0–114%
0–27%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–014%
1–114%
1–27%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–17%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–02%
3–12%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 0–0 (14%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
86%14%1.5
58%42%2.5
31%69%3.5
13%87%4.5
5%95%

Double chance

Enppi or draw
66%
Enppi or Ceramica Cleopatra
69%
Draw or Ceramica Cleopatra
66%

Winning margin

Enppi wins by 2+
13%
Ceramica Cleopatra wins by 2+
13%

Team goals

Enppi 1+ goals
62%
Enppi 2+ goals
25%
Enppi 3+ goals
7%
Ceramica Cleopatra 1+ goals
62%
Ceramica Cleopatra 2+ goals
25%
Ceramica Cleopatra 3+ goals
7%

Draw no bet

Enppi (draw refunded)
50%
Ceramica Cleopatra (draw refunded)
50%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
25%
Both score & under 3
14%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Enppi at home — creates 0.93, concedes 0.71 · 14 matches

Ceramica Cleopatra away — creates 1.23, concedes 1.00 · 13 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Enppi attack 0.93 + Ceramica Cleopatra defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 0.97

Ceramica Cleopatra attack 1.23 + Enppi defence 0.71 → ÷2 → 0.97

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 34%?"

Enppi scores more
34%
level
31%
Ceramica Cleopatra scores more
34%

Enppi at 34% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 34% does not mean "Enppi will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

League Cup: Enppi 2–0 Ceramica Cleopatra

Enppi beat Ceramica Cleopatra 2-0 in League Cup on January 6, 2026.

The match was played at Petrosport Stadium in Cairo.