Enisey 1–1 Nizhny Novgorod: Result & Stats

Enisey

FT

1 – 1

HT: 0 – 0

Nizhny Novgorod

A. Maslovskiy 90'

A. Koksharov 87'

2/15/2025

Friendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Corendon Football Center

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 8+ matches

Enisey46%

×Draw23%

Nizhny Novgorod31%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

EniseyExpected goals in this matchNizhny Novgorod

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.80

1.45

Enisey

1.80

Nizhny Novgorod

1.45

Enisey creates 24% more chances

Season form · 15 home / 8 away

1.73

creates per match

1.63

1.27

allows per match

1.88

creates per match

Enisey

1.73

Nizhny Novgorod

1.63

allows per match

Enisey

1.27

Nizhny Novgorod

1.88

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Enisey+0.00on par

Nizhny Novgorod+0.00on par

Total goals

Over63
Under37

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes64
No36

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Enisey ↓

Nizhny Novgorod →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–04%

0–16%

0–24%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–07%

1–110%

1–27%

1–34%

1–41%

2

2–06%

2–19%

2–27%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–04%

3–15%

3–24%

3–32%

3–41%

4

4–02%

4–12%

4–22%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

96%4%1.5

83%17%2.5

63%37%3.5

41%59%4.5

23%77%

Double chance

Enisey or draw

69%

Enisey or Nizhny Novgorod

77%

Draw or Nizhny Novgorod

54%

Winning margin

Enisey wins by 2+

25%

Nizhny Novgorod wins by 2+

14%

Team goals

Enisey 1+ goals

83%

Enisey 2+ goals

54%

Enisey 3+ goals

27%

Nizhny Novgorod 1+ goals

77%

Nizhny Novgorod 2+ goals

42%

Nizhny Novgorod 3+ goals

18%

Draw no bet

Enisey (draw refunded)

60%

Nizhny Novgorod (draw refunded)

40%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

54%

Both score & under 3

10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Enisey at home — creates 1.73, concedes 1.27 · 15 matches

Nizhny Novgorod away — creates 1.63, concedes 1.88 · 8 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Enisey attack 1.73 + Nizhny Novgorod defence 1.88 → ÷2 → 1.80

Nizhny Novgorod attack 1.63 + Enisey defence 1.27 → ÷2 → 1.45

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 46%?"

Enisey scores more

46%

level

23%

Nizhny Novgorod scores more

31%

Enisey at 46% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 46% does not mean "Enisey will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

44'

S. Magkeev

87'

A. Koksharov

90'

A. Maslovskiy

Enisey

Nizhny

30

6

22

99

29

27

15

25

8

78

96

⚽

50

44

5

3

33

⚽

6

7

23

11

87

15

Enisey substitutes

SorokinAntipinRukasBogatyrevNadolskiyGilyazetdinovBavinGHIKravtsovZazvonkinGubanovLomakin

Manager: Aleksey Shpilevskiy

Nizhny Novgorod substitutes

1Lukyanov2Aleksandrov3Vedernikov7Karapuzov10Troshechkin16Krashevskiy17Lapinsky19Ermakov24Gotsuk52Chistyakov70Shnaptsev80Tsarukyan86Agapov

Friendlies Clubs: Enisey 1–1 Nizhny Novgorod

Enisey and Nizhny Novgorod drew 1-1 in Friendlies Clubs on February 15, 2025.

Goals: A. Koksharov (87'), A. Maslovskiy (90').

The match was played at Corendon Football Center in Antalya.

Enisey vs Nizhny Novgorod — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Friendlies Clubs: Enisey 1–1 Nizhny Novgorod