Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Enisey vs Akhmat — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Enisey
Enisey
FT
1 – 2
HT: 0 – 0
Akhmat
Akhmat
D. Tikhonov 80'
T. Ibishev 83'
L. Sadulaev 59'
2/14/2024Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3TBC

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 9+ matches

Enisey39%
×Draw26%
Akhmat35%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Enisey
1.40
Akhmat
1.32

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 16 home / 9 away

creates per match

Enisey
1.69
Akhmat
1.33

allows per match

Enisey
1.31
Akhmat
1.11

finishing

Enisey+0.00on par
Akhmat+0.00on par

Total goals

51%Over
  • Over51
  • Under49

Close call

Both teams score

55%Yes
  • Yes55
  • No45

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Enisey ↓

Akhmat →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–07%
0–19%
0–26%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–09%
1–112%
1–28%
1–34%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–19%
2–26%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–14%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
93%7%1.5
75%25%2.5
51%49%3.5
29%71%4.5
14%86%

Double chance

Enisey or draw
65%
Enisey or Akhmat
74%
Draw or Akhmat
61%

Winning margin

Enisey wins by 2+
18%
Akhmat wins by 2+
16%

Team goals

Enisey 1+ goals
75%
Enisey 2+ goals
41%
Enisey 3+ goals
17%
Akhmat 1+ goals
73%
Akhmat 2+ goals
38%
Akhmat 3+ goals
15%

Draw no bet

Enisey (draw refunded)
52%
Akhmat (draw refunded)
48%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
43%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Enisey at home — creates 1.69, concedes 1.31 · 16 matches

Akhmat away — creates 1.33, concedes 1.11 · 9 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Enisey attack 1.69 + Akhmat defence 1.11 → ÷2 → 1.40

Akhmat attack 1.33 + Enisey defence 1.31 → ÷2 → 1.32

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 39%?"

Enisey scores more
39%
level
26%
Akhmat scores more
35%

Enisey at 39% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 39% does not mean "Enisey will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

27'
V. Stezhko
27'
B. Berisha
59'
L. Sadulaev
64'
A. Semenov← M. Satara
64'
M. Bogosavac← E. Kharin
64'
D. Todorovic← R. Utsiev
71'
A. Shvets← A. Timofeev
71'
I. Oleynikov← B. Gbamble
80'
D. Tikhonov
81'
G. Shelia← Y. Magomedov
83'
T. Ibishev
87'
N. Razdorskikh← N. Razdorskikh

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Friendlies Clubs: Enisey 1–2 Akhmat

Akhmat beat Enisey 2-1 in Friendlies Clubs on February 14, 2024.

Goals: L. Sadulaev (59'), D. Tikhonov (80'), T. Ibishev (83').

The match was played at TBC in TBC.