Eintracht Frankf U19 5–0 Schott Mainz U19

Eintracht Frankf U19

FT

5 – 0

HT: 3 – 0

Schott Mainz U19

R. Savvidis 65'

A. Chaikhoun 48', 36'

B. Džanović 43'

M. Dills 4'

10/30/2024

U19 Bundesliga · 1st Group Stage - 9Stadion am Riederwald

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 26+ matches

Eintracht Frankf U1969%

×Draw16%

Schott Mainz U1915%

✓ Correct in 51 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.6%

Always home

44.7%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.6% correct across 576,853 matches, vs 44.7% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.9% correct · Away picks 49.7% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Eintracht Frankf U19Expected goals in this matchSchott Mainz U19

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

2.83

1.25

Eintracht Frankf U19

2.83

Schott Mainz U19

1.25

Eintracht Frankf U19 creates 126% more chances

Season form · 74 home / 26 away

2.34

creates per match

1.08

1.42

allows per match

3.31

creates per match

Eintracht Frankf U19

2.34

Schott Mainz U19

1.08

allows per match

Eintracht Frankf U19

1.42

Schott Mainz U19

3.31

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Eintracht Frankf U19+0.00on par

Schott Mainz U19+0.00on par

Total goals

Over77
Under23

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes67
No33

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Eintracht Frankf U19 ↓

Schott Mainz U19 →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–02%

0–12%

0–21%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–05%

1–16%

1–24%

1–32%

1–40%

2

2–07%

2–19%

2–25%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–07%

3–18%

3–25%

3–32%

3–41%

4

4–05%

4–16%

4–24%

4–32%

4–40%

Most likely 2–1 (9%) · grid covers 86% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

98%2%1.5

91%9%2.5

77%23%3.5

57%43%4.5

37%63%

Double chance

Eintracht Frankf U19 or draw

85%

Eintracht Frankf U19 or Schott Mainz U19

84%

Draw or Schott Mainz U19

31%

Winning margin

Eintracht Frankf U19 wins by 2+

49%

Schott Mainz U19 wins by 2+

6%

Team goals

Eintracht Frankf U19 1+ goals

94%

Eintracht Frankf U19 2+ goals

77%

Eintracht Frankf U19 3+ goals

53%

Schott Mainz U19 1+ goals

71%

Schott Mainz U19 2+ goals

36%

Schott Mainz U19 3+ goals

13%

Draw no bet

Eintracht Frankf U19 (draw refunded)

83%

Schott Mainz U19 (draw refunded)

17%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

61%

Both score & under 3

6%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Eintracht Frankf U19 at home — creates 2.34, concedes 1.42 · 74 matches

Schott Mainz U19 away — creates 1.08, concedes 3.31 · 26 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Eintracht Frankf U19 attack 2.34 + Schott Mainz U19 defence 3.31 → ÷2 → 2.83

Schott Mainz U19 attack 1.08 + Eintracht Frankf U19 defence 1.42 → ÷2 → 1.25

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 69%?"

Eintracht Frankf U19 scores more

69%

level

16%

Schott Mainz U19 scores more

15%

Eintracht Frankf U19 at 69% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 69% does not mean "Eintracht Frankf U19 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

4'

M. Dills

36'

A. Chaikhoun

43'

B. Džanović

46'

L. Kremper← K. Benali

46'

P. Trainor← L. Mehmeti

48'

A. Chaikhoun

55'

A. Loune← M. Dills

55'

J. Geike← E. İş

59'

F. Wronkowski← P. Mokam

63'

A. Masjedizadah← K. Mandić

63'

L. Husterer← T. Kpebane

65'

65'

65'

70'

Eintracht

Schott

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

⚽2

⚽

⚽

▼

▼

⚽

Manager: H. Rasche

55'▲A. Loune←▼M. Dills

55'▲J. Geike←▼E. İş

63'▲A. Masjedizadah←▼K. Mandić

63'▲L. Husterer←▼T. Kpebane

Eintracht Frankf U19 substitutes

LouneGeikeMasjedizadahHustererEfthimiou

Manager: P. Staegemann

46'▲L. Kremper←▼K. Benali

46'▲P. Trainor←▼L. Mehmeti

59'▲F. Wronkowski←▼P. Mokam

65'▲B. Patschke←▼B. Blum

65'▲L. Dumiec←▼F. Lang

70'▲N. Sommer←▼L. Wust

Schott Mainz U19 substitutes

KremperTrainorWronkowskiPatschkeDumiecSommerBrajovic

U19 Bundesliga: Eintracht Frankf U19 5–0 Schott Mainz U19

Eintracht Frankf U19 beat Schott Mainz U19 5-0 in U19 Bundesliga on October 30, 2024.

Goals: M. Dills (4'), A. Chaikhoun (36', 48'), B. Džanović (43'), R. Savvidis (65').

The match was played at Stadion am Riederwald in Frankfurt am Main.

Eintracht Frankf U19 vs Schott Mainz U19 — U19 Bundesliga 2019

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

U19 Bundesliga: Eintracht Frankf U19 5–0 Schott Mainz U19