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Eintracht Braunschweig vs Preussen Munster — League #80 2026

Eintracht Braunschweig
Eintracht Braunschweig
FT
3 – 3
HT: 1 – 2
Preussen Munster
Preussen Munster
4/28/2019League #80League #80 · Round 35Eintracht-Stadion

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 7+ matches

Eintracht Braunschweig58%
×Draw22%
Preussen Munster20%
✓ Correct in 51 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.6%
Always home
44.7%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.6% correct across 576,853 matches, vs 44.7% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.9% correct · Away picks 49.7% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Eintracht Braunschweig
1.94
Preussen Munster
1.06

Eintracht Braunschweig creates 83% more chances

Season form · 7 home / 23 away

creates per match

Eintracht Braunschweig
2.14
Preussen Munster
0.83

allows per match

Eintracht Braunschweig
1.29
Preussen Munster
1.74

finishing

Eintracht Braunschweig+0.00on par
Preussen Munster+0.00on par

Total goals

58%Over
  • Over58
  • Under42

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

56%Yes
  • Yes56
  • No44

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Eintracht Braunschweig ↓

Preussen Munster →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–15%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–010%
1–110%
1–25%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–09%
2–110%
2–25%
2–32%
2–40%
3
3–06%
3–16%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–03%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
80%20%2.5
58%42%3.5
35%65%4.5
18%82%

Double chance

Eintracht Braunschweig or draw
80%
Eintracht Braunschweig or Preussen Munster
78%
Draw or Preussen Munster
42%

Winning margin

Eintracht Braunschweig wins by 2+
34%
Preussen Munster wins by 2+
7%

Team goals

Eintracht Braunschweig 1+ goals
86%
Eintracht Braunschweig 2+ goals
58%
Eintracht Braunschweig 3+ goals
30%
Preussen Munster 1+ goals
65%
Preussen Munster 2+ goals
29%
Preussen Munster 3+ goals
9%

Draw no bet

Eintracht Braunschweig (draw refunded)
74%
Preussen Munster (draw refunded)
26%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
46%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Eintracht Braunschweig at home — creates 2.14, concedes 1.29 · 7 matches

Preussen Munster away — creates 0.83, concedes 1.74 · 23 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Eintracht Braunschweig attack 2.14 + Preussen Munster defence 1.74 → ÷2 → 1.94

Preussen Munster attack 0.83 + Eintracht Braunschweig defence 1.29 → ÷2 → 1.06

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 58%?"

Eintracht Braunschweig scores more
58%
level
22%
Preussen Munster scores more
20%

Eintracht Braunschweig at 58% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 58% does not mean "Eintracht Braunschweig will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

League #80: Eintracht Braunschweig 3–3 Preussen Munster

Eintracht Braunschweig and Preussen Munster drew 3-3 in League #80 on April 28, 2019.

The match was played at Eintracht-Stadion in Braunschweig.