Eintracht Braunsch U19 0–2 RB Leipzig U19

Eintracht Braunsch U19

FT

0 – 2

HT: 0 – 1

RB Leipzig U19

T. Kaufmann 80'

A. Bayindir 38'

8/19/2023

U19 Bundesliga · Nord / Nordost - 2Stadion NLZ

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 42+ matches

Eintracht Braunsch U1931%

×Draw20%

RB Leipzig U1948%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50%

Always home

44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Eintracht Braunsch U19Expected goals in this matchRB Leipzig U19

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.80

2.26

Eintracht Braunsch U19

1.80

RB Leipzig U19

2.26

RB Leipzig U19 creates 26% more chances

Season form · 42 home / 71 away

2.12

creates per match

2.13

2.40

allows per match

1.48

creates per match

Eintracht Braunsch U19

2.12

RB Leipzig U19

2.13

allows per match

Eintracht Braunsch U19

2.40

RB Leipzig U19

1.48

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Eintracht Braunsch U19+0.00on par

RB Leipzig U19+0.00on par

Total goals

Over77
Under23

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes75
No25

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Eintracht Braunsch U19 ↓

RB Leipzig U19 →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–02%

0–14%

0–24%

0–33%

0–42%

1

1–03%

1–17%

1–28%

1–36%

1–43%

2

2–03%

2–16%

2–27%

2–35%

2–43%

3

3–02%

3–14%

3–24%

3–33%

3–42%

4

4–01%

4–12%

4–22%

4–31%

4–41%

Most likely 1–2 (8%) · grid covers 90% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

98%2%1.5

91%9%2.5

77%23%3.5

57%43%4.5

38%62%

Double chance

Eintracht Braunsch U19 or draw

52%

Eintracht Braunsch U19 or RB Leipzig U19

80%

Draw or RB Leipzig U19

69%

Winning margin

Eintracht Braunsch U19 wins by 2+

16%

RB Leipzig U19 wins by 2+

29%

Team goals

Eintracht Braunsch U19 1+ goals

83%

Eintracht Braunsch U19 2+ goals

54%

Eintracht Braunsch U19 3+ goals

27%

RB Leipzig U19 1+ goals

89%

RB Leipzig U19 2+ goals

66%

RB Leipzig U19 3+ goals

39%

Draw no bet

Eintracht Braunsch U19 (draw refunded)

39%

RB Leipzig U19 (draw refunded)

61%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

68%

Both score & under 3

7%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Eintracht Braunsch U19 at home — creates 2.12, concedes 2.40 · 42 matches

RB Leipzig U19 away — creates 2.13, concedes 1.48 · 71 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Eintracht Braunsch U19 attack 2.12 + RB Leipzig U19 defence 1.48 → ÷2 → 1.80

RB Leipzig U19 attack 2.13 + Eintracht Braunsch U19 defence 2.40 → ÷2 → 2.26

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 48%?"

Eintracht Braunsch U19 scores more

31%

level

20%

RB Leipzig U19 scores more

48%

RB Leipzig U19 at 48% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 48% does not mean "RB Leipzig U19 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

38'

A. Bayindir

60'

K. Yotasong← L. Hoßbach

60'

L. Koß← A. Bayindir

60'

W. Osawe← P. Kühnhardt

76'

T. Meyer← L. Hennig

79'

J. Drevenstedt← N. Prabakaran

79'

R. Ziegele← J. Soetebeer

80'

T. Kaufmann

86'

A. Krause← Y. Eduardo

86'

M. Kponton← T. Kaufmann

89'

J. Hoya← B. El Haj

Eintracht

RB

▼

▼

⚽

▼

Bayindir

⚽

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

Manager: J. Stephan

60'▲K. Yotasong←▼L. Hoßbach

79'▲J. Drevenstedt←▼N. Prabakaran

79'▲R. Ziegele←▼J. Soetebeer

89'▲J. Hoya←▼B. El Haj

Eintracht Braunsch U19 substitutes

YotasongDrevenstedtZiegeleHoyaNosterStrauchCovic

Manager: D. Zenković

60'▲L. Koß←▼A. Bayindir

60'▲W. Osawe←▼P. Kühnhardt

76'▲T. Meyer←▼L. Hennig

86'▲A. Krause←▼Y. Eduardo

86'▲M. Kponton←▼T. Kaufmann

RB Leipzig U19 substitutes

KoßOsaweMeyerKrauseKpontonJanoschBayindir

Match Recap: Eintracht Braunsch U19 vs RB Leipzig U19

RB Leipzig U19 beat Eintracht Braunsch U19 2-0 in U19 Bundesliga on August 19, 2023.

Goals: A. Bayindir (38'), T. Kaufmann (80').

The match was played at Stadion NLZ in Braunschweig.

Eintracht Braunsch U19 vs RB Leipzig U19 — U19 Bundesliga 2019

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Match Recap: Eintracht Braunsch U19 vs RB Leipzig U19