Scoreo

Eintracht Braunsch U19 vs Eintr. Norderstedt U19U19 Bundesliga 2019

A. Aksac 83'
B. Redecker 64', 8'
B. Fuchs 18'
A. Diachun 78'
M. Mbodje 41'

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 6+ matches

Eintracht Braunsch U1951%
×Draw18%
Eintr. Norderstedt U1930%
Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 577,253 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.6% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Eintracht Braunsch U19
2.81
Eintr. Norderstedt U19
2.17

Eintracht Braunsch U19 creates 29% more chances

Season form · 54 home / 6 away

creates per match

Eintracht Braunsch U19
2.13
Eintr. Norderstedt U19
1.83

allows per match

Eintracht Braunsch U19
2.50
Eintr. Norderstedt U19
3.50

finishing

Eintracht Braunsch U19+0.00on par
Eintr. Norderstedt U19+0.00on par

Total goals

87%Over
  • Over87
  • Under13

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

83%Yes
  • Yes83
  • No17

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Eintracht Braunsch U19

Eintr. Norderstedt U19
0
1
2
3
4
0
001%
012%
022%
031%
041%
1
102%
114%
125%
133%
142%
2
203%
216%
227%
235%
243%
3
303%
316%
326%
334%
342%
4
402%
414%
424%
433%
442%

Most likely 2–2 (7%) · grid covers 81% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
99%1%1.5
96%4%2.5
87%13%3.5
72%28%4.5
54%46%

Double chance

Eintracht Braunsch U19 or draw
70%
Eintracht Braunsch U19 or Eintr. Norderstedt U19
82%
Draw or Eintr. Norderstedt U19
49%

Winning margin

Eintracht Braunsch U19 wins by 2+
33%
Eintr. Norderstedt U19 wins by 2+
16%

Team goals

Eintracht Braunsch U19 1+ goals
94%
Eintracht Braunsch U19 2+ goals
76%
Eintracht Braunsch U19 3+ goals
52%
Eintr. Norderstedt U19 1+ goals
89%
Eintr. Norderstedt U19 2+ goals
64%
Eintr. Norderstedt U19 3+ goals
36%

Draw no bet

Eintracht Braunsch U19 (draw refunded)
63%
Eintr. Norderstedt U19 (draw refunded)
37%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
79%
Both score & under 3
4%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Eintracht Braunsch U19 at homecreates 2.13, concedes 2.50 · 54 matches

Eintr. Norderstedt U19 awaycreates 1.83, concedes 3.50 · 6 matches

Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Eintracht Braunsch U19 attack 2.13 + Eintr. Norderstedt U19 defence 3.50 → ÷2 → 2.81

Eintr. Norderstedt U19 attack 1.83 + Eintracht Braunsch U19 defence 2.50 → ÷2 → 2.17

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 51%?"

Eintracht Braunsch U19 scores more
51%
level
18%
Eintr. Norderstedt U19 scores more
30%

Eintracht Braunsch U19 at 51% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 51% does not mean "Eintracht Braunsch U19 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Eintracht
Eintr.
C. Menzel
Manager: C. Menzel
30'A. GegaA. Schlothauer
62'A. AksacKarim Hassanin
62'S. DabrowskiBasim El Haj
75'J. GilleN. Gambke
75'M. GehringB. Redecker

Eintracht Braunsch U19 substitutes

46'D. DuahH. Lauterbach
67'A. DiachunN. Schöning
67'L. AlpsoyA. Seidi
67'T. ChenK. Perehudov
73'H. RiebauL. Rikanovic
73'S. JungM. Mbodje

Eintr. Norderstedt U19 substitutes

Match Recap: Eintracht Braunsch U19 vs Eintr. Norderstedt U19

Eintracht Braunsch U19 beat Eintr. Norderstedt U19 6-2 in U19 Bundesliga on March 8, 2025.

Goals: B. Redecker (8', 64'), B. Fuchs (18'), Basim El Haj (20'), M. Mbodje (41'), L. Marheineke (55'), A. Diachun (78'), A. Aksac (83').

The match was played at Stadion NLZ in Braunschweig.