Eintr. Norderstedt U19 0–0 Blumenthaler SV U19

Eintr. Norderstedt U19

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Blumenthaler SV U19

3/29/2025

U19 Bundesliga · 2nd Phase Group B - 8Kunstrasenplatz Garstedt 2

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 6+ matches

Eintr. Norderstedt U1943%

×Draw19%

Blumenthaler SV U1938%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.3%

Always home

44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 577,253 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.6% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Eintr. Norderstedt U19Expected goals in this matchBlumenthaler SV U19

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

2.48

2.35

Eintr. Norderstedt U19

2.48

Blumenthaler SV U19

2.35

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 6 home / 19 away

2.17

creates per match

1.53

3.17

allows per match

2.79

creates per match

Eintr. Norderstedt U19

2.17

Blumenthaler SV U19

1.53

allows per match

Eintr. Norderstedt U19

3.17

Blumenthaler SV U19

2.79

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Eintr. Norderstedt U19+0.00on par

Blumenthaler SV U19+0.00on par

Total goals

Over86
Under14

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes83
No17

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Eintr. Norderstedt U19 ↓

Blumenthaler SV U19 →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–01%

0–12%

0–22%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–02%

1–15%

1–26%

1–34%

1–43%

2

2–03%

2–16%

2–27%

2–35%

2–43%

3

3–02%

3–15%

3–26%

3–34%

3–43%

4

4–01%

4–13%

4–24%

4–33%

4–42%

Most likely 2–2 (7%) · grid covers 83% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

99%1%1.5

95%5%2.5

86%14%3.5

70%30%4.5

52%48%

Double chance

Eintr. Norderstedt U19 or draw

62%

Eintr. Norderstedt U19 or Blumenthaler SV U19

81%

Draw or Blumenthaler SV U19

57%

Winning margin

Eintr. Norderstedt U19 wins by 2+

25%

Blumenthaler SV U19 wins by 2+

22%

Team goals

Eintr. Norderstedt U19 1+ goals

92%

Eintr. Norderstedt U19 2+ goals

70%

Eintr. Norderstedt U19 3+ goals

44%

Blumenthaler SV U19 1+ goals

90%

Blumenthaler SV U19 2+ goals

68%

Blumenthaler SV U19 3+ goals

41%

Draw no bet

Eintr. Norderstedt U19 (draw refunded)

53%

Blumenthaler SV U19 (draw refunded)

47%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

78%

Both score & under 3

5%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Eintr. Norderstedt U19 at home — creates 2.17, concedes 3.17 · 6 matches

Blumenthaler SV U19 away — creates 1.53, concedes 2.79 · 19 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Eintr. Norderstedt U19 attack 2.17 + Blumenthaler SV U19 defence 2.79 → ÷2 → 2.48

Blumenthaler SV U19 attack 1.53 + Eintr. Norderstedt U19 defence 3.17 → ÷2 → 2.35

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 43%?"

Eintr. Norderstedt U19 scores more

43%

level

19%

Blumenthaler SV U19 scores more

38%

Eintr. Norderstedt U19 at 43% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 43% does not mean "Eintr. Norderstedt U19 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

62'

R. Mojen← L. Jacob

64'

K. Perehudov← J. Faizy

64'

S. Jung← L. Rikanovic

74'

A. Diachun← M. Mbodje

77'

M. Hüneke← R. Amadou

Eintr.

Blumenthaler

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

Manager: Q. Bajraktaraj

64'▲K. Perehudov←▼J. Faizy

64'▲S. Jung←▼L. Rikanovic

74'▲A. Diachun←▼M. Mbodje

Eintr. Norderstedt U19 substitutes

PerehudovJungDiachunHartrampfRiebauRodeChen

Manager: D. Spitzer

62'▲R. Mojen←▼L. Jacob

77'▲M. Hüneke←▼R. Amadou

Blumenthaler SV U19 substitutes

MojenHünekeDemirMoussalliSeebeckBuchmüllerWegener

Match Recap: Eintr. Norderstedt U19 vs Blumenthaler SV U19

Eintr. Norderstedt U19 and Blumenthaler SV U19 drew 0-0 in U19 Bundesliga on March 29, 2025.

The match was played at Kunstrasenplatz Garstedt 2 in Norderstedt.

Eintr. Norderstedt U19 vs Blumenthaler SV U19 — U19 Bundesliga 2019

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Match Recap: Eintr. Norderstedt U19 vs Blumenthaler SV U19