Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Eichstätt vs Eintracht Münchberg — Oberliga - Bayern Nord 2026

Eichstätt
Eichstätt
FT
5 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Eintracht Münchberg
Eintracht Münchberg
L. Schraufstetter 90'
P. Schittler 82', 48'
N. Leipold 75'
E. Herger 67'
3/1/2025Oberliga - Bayern NordOberliga - Bayern Nord · Bayern Nord - 23Liqui-Moly-Stadion

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 17+ matches

Eichstätt71%
×Draw17%
Eintracht Münchberg12%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 577,253 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.6% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Eichstätt
2.50
Eintracht Münchberg
0.92

Eichstätt creates 172% more chances

Season form · 35 home / 17 away

creates per match

Eichstätt
2.29
Eintracht Münchberg
0.94

allows per match

Eichstätt
0.89
Eintracht Münchberg
2.71

finishing

Eichstätt+0.00on par
Eintracht Münchberg+0.00on par

Total goals

66%Over
  • Over66
  • Under34

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

55%Yes
  • Yes55
  • No45

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Eichstätt ↓

Eintracht Münchberg →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–13%
0–21%
0–30%
0–40%
1
1–08%
1–18%
1–24%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–010%
2–110%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–09%
3–18%
3–24%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–05%
4–15%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 2–0 (10%) · grid covers 90% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
85%15%2.5
66%34%3.5
44%56%4.5
25%75%

Double chance

Eichstätt or draw
88%
Eichstätt or Eintracht Münchberg
83%
Draw or Eintracht Münchberg
29%

Winning margin

Eichstätt wins by 2+
49%
Eintracht Münchberg wins by 2+
4%

Team goals

Eichstätt 1+ goals
92%
Eichstätt 2+ goals
71%
Eichstätt 3+ goals
45%
Eintracht Münchberg 1+ goals
60%
Eintracht Münchberg 2+ goals
23%
Eintracht Münchberg 3+ goals
7%

Draw no bet

Eichstätt (draw refunded)
86%
Eintracht Münchberg (draw refunded)
14%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
48%
Both score & under 3
8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Eichstätt at home — creates 2.29, concedes 0.89 · 35 matches

Eintracht Münchberg away — creates 0.94, concedes 2.71 · 17 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Eichstätt attack 2.29 + Eintracht Münchberg defence 2.71 → ÷2 → 2.50

Eintracht Münchberg attack 0.94 + Eichstätt defence 0.89 → ÷2 → 0.92

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 71%?"

Eichstätt scores more
71%
level
17%
Eintracht Münchberg scores more
12%

Eichstätt at 71% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 71% does not mean "Eichstätt will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

48'
P. Schittler
67'
E. Herger
75'
N. Leipold
82'
P. Schittler
90'
L. Schraufstetter

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Oberliga - Bayern Nord: Eichstätt 5–0 Eintracht Münchberg

Eichstätt beat Eintracht Münchberg 5-0 in Oberliga - Bayern Nord on March 1, 2025.

Goals: P. Schittler (48', 82'), E. Herger (67'), N. Leipold (75'), L. Schraufstetter (90').

The match was played at Liqui-Moly-Stadion in Eichstätt.