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Dynamo Kyiv vs Rukh Vynnyky — Premier League 2026

Dynamo Kyiv
Dynamo Kyiv
CANC
14:00
Rukh Vynnyky
Rukh Vynnyky
4/9/2022Premier LeaguePremier League · Round 24NSK Olimpijs'kyj

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 7+ matches

Dynamo Kyiv62%
×Draw22%
Rukh Vynnyky16%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Dynamo Kyiv
1.86
Rukh Vynnyky
0.83

Dynamo Kyiv creates 124% more chances

Season form · 7 home / 9 away

creates per match

Dynamo Kyiv
2.27
Rukh Vynnyky
0.92

allows per match

Dynamo Kyiv
0.75
Rukh Vynnyky
1.45

finishing

Dynamo Kyiv-0.56scores less
Rukh Vynnyky-0.14scores less

Total goals

50%Under
  • Under50
  • Over50

Close call

Both teams score

52%No
  • No52
  • Yes48

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Dynamo Kyiv ↓

Rukh Vynnyky →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–07%
0–16%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–013%
1–111%
1–24%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–012%
2–110%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–07%
3–16%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–03%
4–13%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (13%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
93%7%1.5
75%25%2.5
50%50%3.5
28%72%4.5
13%87%

Double chance

Dynamo Kyiv or draw
84%
Dynamo Kyiv or Rukh Vynnyky
78%
Draw or Rukh Vynnyky
38%

Winning margin

Dynamo Kyiv wins by 2+
36%
Rukh Vynnyky wins by 2+
5%

Team goals

Dynamo Kyiv 1+ goals
84%
Dynamo Kyiv 2+ goals
55%
Dynamo Kyiv 3+ goals
28%
Rukh Vynnyky 1+ goals
56%
Rukh Vynnyky 2+ goals
20%
Rukh Vynnyky 3+ goals
5%

Draw no bet

Dynamo Kyiv (draw refunded)
79%
Rukh Vynnyky (draw refunded)
21%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
37%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Dynamo Kyiv at home — creates 2.27, concedes 0.75 · 7 matches

Rukh Vynnyky away — creates 0.92, concedes 1.45 · 9 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Dynamo Kyiv attack 2.27 + Rukh Vynnyky defence 1.45 → ÷2 → 1.86

Rukh Vynnyky attack 0.92 + Dynamo Kyiv defence 0.75 → ÷2 → 0.83

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 62%?"

Dynamo Kyiv scores more
62%
level
22%
Rukh Vynnyky scores more
16%

Dynamo Kyiv at 62% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 62% does not mean "Dynamo Kyiv will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Dynamo Kyiv host Rukh Vynnyky

April 9, 2022: Dynamo Kyiv take on Rukh Vynnyky in Premier League. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Dynamo Kyiv host Rukh Vynnyky at NSK Olimpijs'kyj.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.